THE STRIKER: previews Monday’s two Premier League games with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats. The action gets underway at 5.45pm with FULHAM v ASTON VILLA and then at 8pm a real cracker in prospect with LIVERPOOL v ARSENAL at Anfield.
FULHAM V ASTON VILLA
5.45pm We start Monday Night Football a little earlier than usual this week and we have an excellent night ahead! Of course, all eyes will be on Liverpool v Arsenal later but we have an interesting market here. Fulham have started their campaign with two losses and while perhaps they didn’t deserve to lose against Leeds; they were very poor against Arsenal. If they are going to stay up it is games like this that they will need to get points from to be honest. Villa will have something to say about that however as they have started their season with three wins – however two of these games came against lower quality opposition in the Carabao Cup.
Villa grinded out a 1-0 win over Sheffield United last weekend in a very tight game. In fairness to Villa they have improved immensely since returning from lockdown. They have really turned things around at the back and haven’t been giving up the chances that they were at the early part of last season. Tougher tests will lie ahead though, but they can beat this Fulham side and I’m happy to have a small investment on them at 2.64. I expect a pretty close game, with Villa edging it.
The Striker Says:
One point win Aston Villa to beat Fulham at 2.64 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQfulast
- Fulham have won six of their last eight meetings with Aston Villa in all competitions (L2), winning each of the last three in a row (2017-18 Championship, 2018 Championship play-off final and 2019-20 FA Cup).
- Following a six-game unbeaten run in Premier League meetings with Fulham (W3 D3), Aston Villa are winless in their last four clashes in the top-flight (D1 L3).
- Only West Ham United (45) have lost more games against newly-promoted opposition than Aston Villa (43) in Premier League history, with the Villans suffering six defeats in their last nine such away games (W2 D1).
- Aston Villa have earned just one point from their last 30 available in Premier League matches in London (D1 L9), since beating Tottenham 1-0 in April 2015.
- None of Fulham’s last 21 Premier League games have finished level, with the Cottagers winning just five of these (L16), and shipping 45 goals in the process.
- Aston Villa are looking to open a Premier League campaign with back-to-back victories for just the third time, with the Villans also doing so in 1995-96 and 1999-00.
- Aston Villa haven’t kept a clean sheet in any of their last 26 away games in the top- flight, since a 0-0 draw vs West Brom in January 2016.
- After a 10-game winless run between February-July (D2 L8), Aston Villa are now unbeaten in their last five Premier League games (W3 D2). They last had a longer run without defeat in the competition between May-October 2011 (10 games – W4 D6).
- Since his debut for the club in February 2018, Aleksandar Mitrovic has scored 39% of Fulham’s league goals (51/131, excl. play-offs). Their next highest scorer in that time is Tom Cairney with 13.
- Of all Premier League goalkeepers to make at least 10 starts in the competition, only Alisson (51% – 35/69) has kept a higher proportion of clean sheets than Aston Villa ‘keeper Emiliano Martínez (50% – 7/14). The Argentine kept a clean sheet and saved a penalty on his debut for the Villans last time out.
LIVERPOOL V ARSENAL
8pm What a cracking fixture to enjoy on a Monday night. Arsenal fans will go into this game full of optimism after winning their first two fixtures, but I believe this is where it stops. Liverpool look massive at 1.5 and they will be my first Max Bet of the season! On the face of it, Liverpool have had a crazy start to the season. They beat Leeds in the final kicks of the game 4-3 but they won 3.12 to 0.33 on xG. They bossed the Chelsea game, however granted they benefited from Chelsea being down to ten men and they have more than enough quality in their side to cut through this Arsenal team.
Arsenal are winning games but the cracks are showing. They beat Leeds 2-1 in the final moments, but they lost 1.33 to 2.32 on xG. They were impressive against Fulham, but again Fulham only came up from the Championship and Arsenal tend to always outclass sides like that. It’s against sides who put them under pressure that they crumble. I can see why Arsenal fans are full of hope – the FA Cup, the new manager and some wins. But they were lucky in the FA Cup, and the under-lining numbers say they haven’t improved much. I think Liverpool will bring them back down to earth tonight, and they look massive at 1.5.
The Striker Says:
Five points win Liverpool to beat Arsenal at 1.5 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQlivarl
- Liverpool have won their last four home league games against Arsenal – they’ve not won more consecutively against the Gunners at Anfield since a run of seven between 1981- 1988.
- Arsenal’s 2-1 victory over Liverpool back in July was their first win over the Reds in 10 Premier League games (D4 L5). The Gunners are looking to win back-to-back league games against them for the first time since September 2012.
- Since a 1-0 victory over Leicester in April 2017, Arsenal are winless in their last six Premier League games against the reigning champions (D2 L4). However, Arsenal have won each of their last three against Liverpool with the Reds as reigning champions (2-0 in May 1989, 3-0 in December 1990 and 1-0 in March 1991).
- Only three top-flight fixtures – Liverpool v Man Utd (27), Chelsea v Man Utd (20) and Arsenal v Man Utd (18) – have seen more defeats for reigning champions than the 16 between Arsenal and Liverpool, with the Gunners enjoying 10 such victories against the Reds.
- Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 60 Premier League home games (W49 D11) since a 1-2 loss against Crystal Palace in April 2017. Only Chelsea (86 between 2004-2008) and Liverpool themselves (63 between 1978-1980) have had longer such runs in English top- flight history.
- Arsenal are looking to win their opening three games to a Premier League season for the first time since the 2004-05 campaign, when they won their first five.
- Since Jürgen Klopp’s first Premier League game in charge of Liverpool, only Manchester City (35 v Watford & 30 v Bournemouth) have scored more goals against a side than his Liverpool team has versus Arsenal (27).
- In 24 Premier League appearances against Arsenal combined for Liverpool, Roberto Firmino (8), Mohamed Salah (5) and Sadio Mané (5) have netted 67% of the Reds’ goals versus the Gunners since August 2015 (18/27), including 10 of the last 12.
- Arsenal’s Alexandre Lacazette has scored four goals in his last six Premier League games, netting in both of his appearances so far this season. He last scored in three consecutive league games back in February 2019.
- Mikel Arteta is looking to become the first Arsenal manager to win on his first away trip to Liverpool in all competitions since Tom Whittaker in December 1947. Nine Gunners managers since then have failed to win their first such visit, with eight of those losing.
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