THE STRIKER: previews Monday’s two Premier League games with extended stats and a recommended bet. It’s underway at 5.30pm with BRIGHTON v WEST HAM with BURNLEY v TOTTENHAM at 8pm.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
BRIGHTON V WEST BROM
5.30pm After another dramatic weekend in the Premier League, we have two nice fixtures for Monday Night Football! We start with Brighton hosting West Brom. This might not be the most high quality game, but it’s a massive fixture for both sides. Brighton won’t like me saying this, but it’s highly likely both sides will be fighting to stay up towards the end of the season. West Brom especially look to be struggling, and Brighton will see this as a great chance to claim three points.
West Brom managed their second draw in five games last weekend with a 0-0 against Burnley, but other than their remarkable 3-3 against Chelsea when they benefitted from some massive Chelsea errors they have been very poor. Brighton have played some good football at times, and they were very unlucky to lose against Manchester United. They did enough to beat Palace last weekend, but had to settle for a draw. There might not be much between these sides in the league early on, but the underlining xG numbers say Brighton win. They are playing much better football than West Brom, and they make a lot of appeal at 1.77.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Brighton to beat West Brom at 1.77 on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQbhawba
- This is the 11th top-flight meeting between Brighton and West Brom and first since the 2017-18 season – the Seagulls have won just one of the previous 10 (D5 L4), a 3-1 win in this exact fixture in September 2017.
- The last game between Brighton and West Brom in any competition was in February 2019, when the Seagulls came from a goal down to win 3-1 in an FA Cup replay.
- In league competition, the home side has won each of the last five meetings between Brighton and West Brom, in a run stretching back to March 1991.
- West Brom have won just one of their 13 Premier League away games played on a Monday (D5 L7), beating Liverpool 2-0 in February 2013.
- Brighton have won none of their six Premier League games on a Monday, though five of these have ended level (L1). Only Hull (10) have played more Monday games in the competition without ever winning.
- Brighton have won just one of their last 11 home league games (D4 L6), losing five of their last six since beating Arsenal 2-1 in June.
- Brighton have faced fewer shots than any other Premier League side so far this season (35). However, the Seagulls have conceded from 31% of these attempts faced (11), the highest such ratio in the division this term.
- West Bromwich Albion have the lowest expected goals (xG) total in the Premier League this season (2.4), while they have the highest expected goals against total in the division (11.2). Indeed, no side has conceded more Premier League goals than the Baggies so far this term (13).
- Brighton manager Graham Potter lost both of his previous matches against West Brom in the 2018-19 Championship season with Swansea, while Baggies boss Slaven Bilic lost his only previous match against Brighton in October 2017 with West Ham (0-3).
- West Brom striker Charlie Austin has scored seven goals in 10 appearances against Brighton in all competitions, netting the winning goal the last time he faced the Seagulls in August 2018 in a League Cup tie with Southampton.
BURNLEY V TOTTENHAM
8pm Spurs have been involved in some of the most dramatic Premier League markets on BETDAQ Betting Exchange this season! Say what you want about Jose Mourinho, it’s never dull! They managed to get back to winning ways with an easy 3-0 win over LASK in the Europa League on Thursday, after throwing away a 3-0 lead at HT against West Ham. To coin a phrase, it was very “Spursy,” especially with the other big sides struggling at the moment. It was a chance for Spurs to throw themselves into the mix for the title, sometimes they are their own worst enemy!
All that drama aside, they are an excellent bet at 1.69 tonight. They were very unlucky to only draw with Newcastle, with a very late VAR decision robbing them. They have been playing some good football and creating a lot of chances. They still have their flaws at the back, but at least Jose has them in excellent form going forward. They meet an out of form Burnley side here, and it’s a great time to back Spurs. Burnley started the weekend in the bottom three with four losses and one draw. The draw came against the poor West Brom, and they have been pretty poor. They only managed xG numbers of 0.43, 0.49 and 1.43 against Newcastle, Southampton and Leicester. With Spurs scoring plenty of goals and creating chances, they will outscore Burnley and win.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Tottenham to beat Burnley on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQburttm
- Burnley have won just two of their 12 Premier League games against Spurs (D3 L7), although both wins were at Turf Moor in 2009-10 and 2018-19.
- In all competitions, Spurs have won seven of their last 12 games against Burnley (D4 L1), though they are winless in their last two games at Turf Moor (D1 L1).
- Tottenham have lost just one of their last 11 Premier League games played on Monday (W8 D2), going down 0-1 against Man City in October 2018.
- Burnley are winless in their last five Premier League games (D1 L4), and have lost each of their last two at Turf Moor. They last lost three consecutive home league games in December 2018.
- Spurs have won both of their away Premier League games this season, netting 11 goals in those matches. They’d won just two of their previous 10 on the road in the competition (scoring just 12 goals in these games), while they’re looking to win each of their opening three away games in a Premier League campaign for just the second time (also 2017-18).
- Tottenham have kept just two clean sheets in their last 28 Premier League away games, both in goalless draws last season against relegated sides Bournemouth and Watford.
- Tottenham have conceded more 90th minute goals (incl. stoppage time) than any other Premier League side this season (3), with the last two of these costing them maximum points (1-1 v Newcastle, 3-3 v West Ham).
- In his entire managerial career, José Mourinho has only faced Swansea City (10 games) more often without losing than against Burnley (9 – W5 D4), winning four of his five away matches against the Clarets (D1).
- Spurs forward Harry Kane has been directly involved in eight goals in his last four Premier League appearances against Burnley (6 goals, 2 assists), including a hat-trick at Turf Moor in December 2017.
- Just five games into this season, Tottenham duo Harry Kane (6 assists) and Son Heung-min (2) have combined for eight Premier League goals so far. Only Teddy Sheringham & Darren Anderton (9 in both 1992-93 and 1994-95), and Teddy Sheringham & Chris Armstrong (9 in 1995-96) have combined for more for Spurs in a single campaign in the competition.
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