THE STRIKER: previews Monday’s Premier League games between LEICESTER v FULHAM and WEST HAM v ASTON VILLA both with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
LEICESTER V FULHAM
5.30pm We have two cracking fixtures for Monday Night Football this week and we start with Leicester hosting Fulham. After a disappointing week for Leicester, this is a nice fixture for them to get back to winning ways. Fulham have been poor this season, and have gone back to losing since getting their first win against a poor West Brom side. The positive for Fulham fans is they are starting to create more chances – their last two xG’s have been 1.90 and 1.89. They were unlucky to lose against Everton after missing a penalty, and while the sides are that they are slightly moving in the right direction; they still have a long way to go.
Leicester have been impressive this season, but were rightly put in their place last weekend against Liverpool. The same happened last season, when Leicester where viewed before Christmas as the challengers to Liverpool with City off the pace. Leicester just aren’t in the same bracket as Liverpool so I’m happy to overlook that loss and focus on how good they were beforehand. For me this should be a straightforward home win and I’m happy to back Leicester at 1.56 – Fulham have been very poor this season.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Leicester to beat Fulham at 1.56 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQleiful
- Leicester won their last Premier League meeting with Fulham (3-1 in March 2019), their first victory in six attempts against them in the competition (D3 L2).
- Fulham have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their Premier League meetings with Leicester (4/6) – only against Derby do they have a better such record in the competition (75% – 3/4). However, they conceded in both meetings with Leicester the last time they met in 2018-19 (D1 L1).
- Leicester have won both of their Monday Premier League games so far in 2020 by an aggregate score of 8-1 – the Foxes have never won three consecutive Premier League games played on a Monday before.
- Fulham have won four of their last six Premier League games played on Mondays (L2), with their only victory so far this season coming in such a match (2-0 vs West Brom).
- None of Leicester’s last 13 Premier League games have ended level (W7 L6), the longest current run without a draw in the competition.
- Leicester have lost three of their last five Premier League home games (W2), as many as they had in their previous 20 at King Power Stadium (W12 D5).
- Coming into the weekend’s games, no side has conceded more Premier League goals than Fulham this season (18), with 33% of these goals conceded coming in the opening 15 minutes of games (6) – also a league-high.
- Jamie Vardy was involved in all three of Leicester’s goals the last time they faced Fulham in the Premier League, scoring two and assisting one in the Foxes 3-1 win in March 2019.
- Fulham’s Bobby Reid has scored two goals in his last three league games, as many as he had in his previous 21 for the Cottagers. His three goals in eight Premier League games this season is just two fewer than he scored in 27 appearances in his previous campaign in the competition (5 in 2018-19).
- Leicester manager Brendan Rodgers has won all seven of his Premier League meetings against Fulham – only Pep Guardiola (8 vs Bournemouth and 8 vs Watford) has a better 100% winning record against an opponent in the competition’s history.
WEST HAM V ASTON VILLA
8pm We end the evening with West Ham hosting Aston Villa and we have a pretty open market on BETDAQ Betting Exchange. West Ham are currently trading 2.4 and that looks good value to me. They have impressed me a lot this season, but Villa must be respected here as they have been pretty good this season. They have lost a few of their recent fixtures but you only have to look at their xG numbers to see that they are playing good football. In their last four games they have recorded xG figures of 2.17, 1.94, 2.52 and 1.45. They have lost three of those four games though!
West Ham have been rock solid this season, and we landed a nice bet with them to beat Fulham recently and then they followed that up with a nice win against Sheffield United too. They have been recording impressive xG figures for most of the season and when you create that many chances – you win a lot of games. As I said, I respect Villa so I will adjust my stakes a little lower but I do like West Ham here at the odds. 2.4 looks ten ticks too big to me.
The Striker Says:
Two points win West Ham to beat Aston Villa at 2.4 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQwhuatn
- West Ham have lost just one of their last eight Premier League meetings with Aston Villa (W2 D5), going down 0-1 in May 2015. Both meetings between the sides last season ended in draws.
- Aston Villa are winless in their last five Premier League away games against West Ham (D3 L2), failing to score in four of those visits since a 2-1 win in April 2011.
- Aston Villa have won their last two Premier League games in London, as many as they had in their previous 21 in the capital (D3 L16). They haven’t won three consecutive top-flight games in London since February 1990.
- Aston Villa have won three of their last four Premier League games played on a Monday (L1), including both such games this season without conceding. The Villans had only won three of their last 20 Premier League Monday games prior to this run (D6 L11).
- West Ham have won their last two Premier League games by a 1-0 scoreline – they last won three in a row in May 2019, while they last won three consecutively without conceding in February 2014.
- Aston Villa have won all three of their away Premier League games this season – they’ve never won each of their first four on the road in a league campaign before.
- Aston Villa are looking to win four consecutive Premier League away games for the first time since a run of seven between November 2008-February 2009. That run included a 1-0 victory at West Ham.
- Aston Villa (3) and West Ham (4) are the two sides to have made the fewest changes to their starting XIs in the Premier League this season.
- Aston Villa’s Jack Grealish has won a foul in each Premier League game he’s featured in since the start of 2019/20, a run of 44 matches. The last English player to win a foul in as many consecutive Premier League appearances was Kevin Davies between October 2005 and August 2007 (59 in a row).
- Aston Villa’s Trézéguet has had more shots without scoring than any other player in the Premier League this season (19). The Egyptian also has the highest expected goals figure of players yet to score this term (2).
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