THE STRIKER: previews Saturday’s FA Cup Final between CHELSEA v LEICESTER CITY with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
CHELSEA V LEICESTER
5.15pm We have a fantastic FA Cup Final to look forward to on Saturday afternoon, and we should have an excellent game. All football bets are 0% Commission on BETDAQ Betting Exchange today too, so hopefully we can find a winner! As it stands there is only two points between these two in the Premier League table, and there shouldn’t be much between them. However, I can only see one winner here and that is Chelsea.
It’s been an excellent few weeks for Chelsea – they have a Champions League Final to look forward to at the end of the month and they have got themselves into a decent position again in the Top Four race. They did suffer a setback midweek however when losing to Arsenal, but they will still be one point of Liverpool if Liverpool win their game in hand so Chelsea still have things in their own hands. Leicester had an important win midweek against Manchester United, because they have a tough finish to the season and Liverpool could have caught them – dropping out of the Top Four for the second year in a row on the final day would be a bitter pill to swallow!
Neither side will be thinking about the Top Four race today however, and this should be a high quality game. Both sides have been really impressive this season – they have had their ups and downs of course, but overall they have been excellent. When you look at the recent xG figures however, I can’t see past Chelsea winning here. Leicester are playing OK football at the moment, but it’s not at the same level as Chelsea.
Even in the 1-0 loss midweek against Arsenal, Chelsea were desperately unlucky – xG finished 2.08 to 0.61 to Chelsea and although the luck swings because they had it in their favour to beat Man City in the game before – they played reasonably well in that game too. Leicester have been conceding too many goals recently, against poor sides too – Newcastle scored four, then Southampton and Crystal Palace scored against them and they haven’t been playing great football. Leicester like to play an open game, but they simply can’t afford to give Chelsea a lot of chances given how good Chelsea have been lately.
I’m sure most neutral fans will want to see a Leicester win here – they have been excellent under Brendan Rodgers and they deserve something to show for their efforts. However, Chelsea at 1.97 is Max Bet material for me. They are playing excellent football, creating chances for fun and they’re playing with confidence too. I know it will be a close game as most FA Cup Finals are between two sides of similar quality, but there’s only one winner for me.
The Striker Says:
Five points win Chelsea to beat Leicester at 1.97 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/FACupFinal21
● This will be the 140th FA Cup final, with Chelsea and Leicester becoming the 117th different pairing in the competition’s showcase. Manchester City’s 6-0 demolition of Watford in 2019 was the last time two sides met in the final for the first time.
● This season’s FA Cup final will take place before the end of the Premier League season. The last time this happened came back in 2012-13, when underdogs Wigan beat Manchester City 1-0 to lift the trophy.
● Chelsea will be appearing in their 15th FA Cup final, with only Arsenal (21) and Manchester United (20) reaching the competition’s showcase on more occasions. Indeed, only the Gunners (14) and the Red Devils (12) have won the trophy on more occasions than Chelsea (8).
● This will be Leicester City’s fifth appearance in an FA Cup final and their first since 1969. The Foxes have lost all four previous finals, the most appearances a side has made in the competition’s showcase without ever winning the trophy.
● Chelsea have reached the FA Cup final in four of the last five seasons (W1 L2), with the Blues finishing runners up in last season’s competition to Arsenal. The last side to lose the FA Cup final in consecutive seasons was Newcastle in 1998 and 1999.
● Including replays, Chelsea have only played more FA Cup matches without ever losing against Hull City (11) than against Leicester (9 – W7 D2), progressing from each of their previous seven ties against the Foxes in the competition.
● Leicester City will be appearing in the final of a major cup competition for the first time since 2000, beating Tranmere 2-1 at Wembley in the League Cup final, courtesy of a brace from captain Matt Elliott.
● Chelsea have reached the final of a major domestic/European cup competition in five consecutive seasons for the first time in the club’s history (2017 FA Cup final, 2018 FA Cup final, 2019 League Cup and Europa League final, 2020 FA Cup final and 2021 FA Cup and Champions League final).
● Leicester City have won just four of their 15 games played at Wembley stadium (D1 L10). Following their victory against Southampton in the semi-final, the Foxes will be aiming to win back-to-back matches at this venue for just the second time, previously doing so when winning the 1994 and 1996 second tier play off finals.
● Chelsea have lost four of their last seven trips to Wembley (W2 D1), as many defeats as in their previous 17 visits to this ground (W11 D2).
● Leicester City boss Brendan Rodgers – who won the Scottish FA Cup with Celtic in 2017 & 2018 – could become the first manager to win both the English and Scottish FA Cup since Sir Alex Ferguson (four Scottish FA Cup titles with Aberdeen and five English FA Cup titles with Man Utd).
● Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel will become the first ever German manager to lead his side out for an English FA Cup final, with the Blues still yet to concede a goal under him in this season’s competition.
● Christian Pulisic opened the scoring for Chelsea in last season’s FA Cup final against Arsenal – the last player to score an FA Cup final goal in consecutive seasons was Didier Drogba, also for Chelsea in 2009 (vs Everton) and 2010 (vs Portsmouth).
● No player has scored more goals in this season’s FA Cup than Leicester’s Kelechi Iheanacho (4), who has scored a third of the Foxes’ goals on their way to the final (4/12), netting in the fifth round, quarter-final and the winner against Southampton in the semi-final.
● Despite playing in each of the last three rounds for Leicester, Jamie Vardy is still yet to score in this season’s FA Cup. Indeed, he’s scored just twice in 15 appearances in the competition for the Foxes, with his last strike coming against Chelsea in March 2018.
● Since his first appearance in the competition in January 2016, Kelechi Iheanacho has scored more FA Cup goals than any other player (14, excluding qualifiers). He could become just the second Nigerian to score in an FA Cup final, after Kanu for Portsmouth in 2008.
● Should he feature, Chelsea’s Olivier Giroud will appear in his sixth FA Cup final, a tally bettered only by Ashley Cole (8), Ryan Giggs and Roy Keane (7 each) in the post WWII era. The Frenchman has been directly involved in six goals in his last nine FA Cup matches at Wembley stadium (3 goals, 3 assists).