PREMIER LEAGUE SATURDAY: The Striker previews Saturday’s Premier League games between BRIGHTON v LIVERPOOL, BRENTFORD v BURNLEY and MAN U v SPURS all with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.
BRIGHTON V LIVERPOOL
12.30pm We have a smaller than usual fixture list for Saturday in the Premier League this week but we have three fascinating markets nonetheless and All football bets are 0% Commission on BETDAQ Betting Exchange! The headline fixture is Manchester United v Tottenham later, but we start the day with Brighton hosting Liverpool. Although Brighton are having a much improved season this time around, they haven’t stepped forward from their fast start to the season. They have dropped down to the bottom half of the table, and they’ve only picked up one win from their last eight games – plus that win came against Watford who have been very poor this season. They have lost a couple of close games recently but they are struggling in general. They have been fantastic at scoring late goals this season, so watch out for that in-running but I can’t see past a Liverpool win here to start the day. The 1.52 is very appealing on the away win, especially with 0% Commission on offer.
Liverpool had a little scare midweek in the Champions League. They took a 2-0 lead into the tie but Inter scored after 61 minutes and Liverpool fans would have been delighted to see Sanchez get sent off after 63. It could have been a very different story if we didn’t see that red card and a very nervous time for Liverpool; but they got through. The xG figure they produced was good and they didn’t play badly – basically they got the job done. When you look at the Liverpool xG figures you can’t help but be impressed at the moment. They are playing some superb football at the moment and they can going to challenge Man City all the way for the title – the gap is probably too big at six points – but I feel Liverpool will finish the season strongly and there’s going to be some great value opportunities to back them. I believe this is one of them, as I’d have easily at least five ticks shorter than 1.52 to win here. This is an ideal time to be against Brighton in my opinion, and this should be a routine win for Liverpool.
The Striker Says:
Four points win Liverpool to beat Brighton at 1.52 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQBhaliv
● Having lost each of their first six Premier League meetings with Liverpool, Brighton are unbeaten in their last three against the Reds (W1 D2).
● Liverpool are winless in their last three meetings with Brighton (D2 L1) – they’ve never gone four without a victory against the Seagulls in all competitions.
● Brighton have lost each of their last four Premier League games – they last lost five consecutive league games back in April 2007 as a League One side.
● Just 42% of Brighton’s Premier League points this season have come in home games (14/33). The Seagulls are averaging just 1.08 points per home game in the Premier League this term, their lowest ratio across a season in the competition.
● After a three-game winless run in December/January, Liverpool have now won each of their last seven Premier League games, scoring 19 goals and conceding just twice in this run.
● Liverpool have scored 1,998 Premier League goals, and could become the second team to reach 2,000 in the competition after Manchester United. 10% of these goals have come from current forward pair Mohamed Salah (114) and Sadio Mané (86).
● Neal Maupay has scored 26 goals in the Premier League for Brighton – one more strike will see him become the Seagulls’ highest goalscorer in the competition (currently level with Glenn Murray).
● Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has been involved in 10 goals in his nine Premier League appearances against Brighton (5 goals, 5 assists), averaging a goal or assist every 75 minutes against the Seagulls.
● Luis Díaz is attempting (5.6) and completing (3.3) more dribbles per 90 minutes than any other Liverpool player in the Premier League this season (minimum 300 minutes played). Meanwhile, only Trent Alexander-Arnold (3 per 90) is creating chances more regularly than the Colombian (2.3) for the Reds this term.
● Andrew Robertson has provided nine assists for Liverpool in the Premier League this season, with Trent Alexander-Arnold (11) and Mohamed Salah (10) already hitting double figures for the Reds this term. Another assist for Robertson will see Liverpool become just the third team to have three players score 10+ goals, and three players provide 10+ assists in a single Premier League campaign after Arsenal in 2004-05 and Manchester City in 2017-18.
BRENTFORD V BURNLEY
3pm We only have one 3pm game this afternoon, and it’s a very interesting market as Brentford host Burnley. It was fantastic to see Christian Eriksen start for Brentford last weekend in their 3-1 win over Norwich – hopefully he continues to keep fit and healthy! It’s amazing to think where he’s come from since Euro 2020 last summer, and hopefully he is a big success at Brentford. That win last weekend was absolutely huge for Brentford, as they are still in the relegation battle given the amount of games they’ve played compared to Leeds, Everton and Burnley. That win probably just nudged them away from danger, and a follow up win here would likely see them safe given the setback to Burnley – this is a real relegation six pointer! Burnley have had their momentum knocked in recent weeks by Leicester and Chelsea, and they need to get back to collecting points.
Although Burnley lost 4-0 to Chelsea and 2-0 to Leicester, they didn’t perform that badly. They played well against Leicester and Burnley fans will argue they deserved a draw, while they were always likely to lose to Chelsea and got to HT at 0-0. Brentford needed that win against Norwich to get back on track especially after their terrible performance here against Newcastle at the end of February. Over all based on performances in my opinion Brentford have been excellent at home this season. They have had some very unlucky results, but you have to say that performance against Newcastle was their worst and that’s the most recent. I know Burnley have had a good run lately, but Brentford at home have impressed me and I feel they can come out on top here. I’m going to keep stakes limited for this game, but it’s the home win at 2.24.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Brentford to beat Burnley at 2.24 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQBrebur
● Having been unbeaten in their first eight home league meetings with Burnley (W4 D4) between 1933 and 1996, Brentford have lost three of their last four at home against the Clarets, most recently a 3-1 loss in January 2016.
● Since a 2-1 loss in September 1997, Burnley are unbeaten in their last six league meetings with Brentford (W4 D2), winning each of the last four in a row.
● Burnley are looking to complete the league double over Brentford for just the second time in their history, though the other occasion was in the last campaign in which they met (2015-16 in the Championship).
● Burnley are unbeaten in their last four Premier League games in London, beating Fulham in May and drawing with Chelsea, Arsenal and Crystal Palace this season. The Clarets last had a longer unbeaten top-flight run in the capital between August 1965 and December 1966 (8 games).
● Brentford’s 3-1 win at Norwich last time out ended a run of eight league games without a win for the Bees, while they netted as many goals in that victory as they had in their previous seven league games combined. Brentford are looking to secure consecutive Premier League victories for the first time.
● After a run of seven Premier League games in which they lost just once (W2 D4), and conceded just three goals, Burnley have lost their last two Premier League games by an aggregate score of 6-0. All six of their goals conceded in these defeats have come after half-time.
● 17% of Brentford’s Premier League goals this season have come from the penalty spot (5/30). Four of their five spot kicks have been scored by Ivan Toney, accounting for 44% of his total strikes in the competition (4/9).
● Burnley are averaging 3.1 shots on target per game in the Premier League this season, their joint-lowest tally in a single campaign in the competition (level with 2018-19). Meanwhile, only in 2014-15 (6.5%) have the Clarets had a lower shot conversion rate in the Premier League than their 8.3% this term.
● Since the start of 2018-19 (when he moved to Peterborough), Ivan Toney has scored 93 goals in all competitions, with only Mohamed Salah and Harry Kane netting more for English league sides in that time. Toney has also netted five hat-tricks in that time, with no player netting more in all competitions.
● Burnley’s Dwight McNeil has had more shots without scoring than any other player in the Premier League so far this season (32). Overall, McNeil has failed to score with his last 40 shots in the competition, since netting against Everton almost a year ago to the day (13th March 2021).
MANCHESTER UNITED V TOTTENHAM
5.30pm We finish the day with Man United host Spurs and this should be a cracker! This fixture will take on the headlines this weekend and what a massive game this is. After losing to Man City last weekend, pretty much every game is a must win game for United at the moment if they want to have any chance of a Top Four finish. This game is obviously bigger than most given it’s against a Top Four rival, and Spurs must be full of confidence after a morale boosting 5-0 win over Everton on Monday night. We could talk about the Man United issues and be here all weekend, however let’s not forget Spurs have issues of their own. Even recently Conte said he might not be able to fix the club, which is an odd thing to say for a manager to be honest. Basically you could sum up the situation at both clubs by saying never a dull moment! The worst thing you could say about United at the moment is they totally gave up in the second half against Man City last weekend. I know there is a huge gulf in class between the two clubs in Manchester at the moment, but it always seems that this United squad have no backbone and that they just give up when things are going against them.
Ralf Rangnick came out in defence of his players after the weekend, but to be fair he has to do that. They gave up, and as Roy Keane said shame on them. Spurs obviously have their own issues and you can say sometimes that their big players go missing in the big games, but United look far too short here at 2.2. I am worried about the recent away performances from Spurs – they were very average away to Middlesbrough and away to Burnley, losing 1-0 both times. However, I will just reduce my stakes with that worry because I still believe the 2.2 is far too short on United here. They haven’t been creating a huge volume of chances lately and I can see a pretty boring game here. I know Spurs beat Man City away from home before those losses to Middlesbrough and Burnley, but that was their best performance of the season and it’s hard to see them repeating it. That being said, they don’t even need to repeat it to beat this United side. The next week will decide United’s season given they play Atletico Madrid here midweek in the Champions League, and I expect them to come up short starting here.
The Striker Says:
Three points lay (liability) Manchester United to beat Tottenham at 2.2 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQMuntot
● Manchester United are looking to win three consecutive Premier League games against Spurs for the first time since a run of four between April 2009 and October 2010.
● Tottenham have won two of their last three Premier League away games against Manchester United (L1), as many as they had in their first 26 visits to Old Trafford in the competition (W2 D3 L21).
● Tottenham have lost more Premier League games both overall (37) and away (22) against Manchester United than they have vs any other opponent in the competition. However, Spurs have scored 10 goals across their last three visits to Old Trafford in the top-flight, as many as they had in their previous 19 at the ground combined.
● Manchester United have lost three Premier League games by at least three goals this season, going down 5-0 against Liverpool, 4-1 against Watford, and 4-1 at Man City last time out. The last time the Red Devils lost more games by 3+ goals in a single league campaign was in 1978-79 (5).
● Tottenham’s last two Premier League games have seen them beat Leeds 4-0 and Everton 5-0; they last scored at least four goals in three consecutive league games back in February 2004 – 4-3 vs Portsmouth, 4-2 vs Charlton and 4-4 vs Leicester City.
● Manchester United are winless in their last three games in all competitions (D2 L1) – they’ve not gone longer without a win since a run of six games in September/October 2019.
● Man Utd’s Cristiano Ronaldo has been involved in seven goals in his last five Premier League games against Spurs (4 goals, 3 assists), both scoring and assisting against them in three different matches in this run.
● Tottenham’s Harry Kane has been involved in five goals in his last three Premier League away games against Manchester United (3 goals, 2 assists), scoring twice and assisting another in Spurs’ 6-1 victory at Old Trafford last season.
● Tottenham boss Antonio Conte has won four of his six meetings with Manchester United in all competitions, most recently winning the FA Cup final 1-0 against them in May 2018. However, the Italian has lost on both of his visits to Old Trafford against the Red Devils.
● Tottenham’s Harry Kane has scored 93 goals in 137 Premier League away games – one more will see him equal Wayne Rooney for the most goals scored away from home in the competition’s history.