THE STRIKER: previews Sunday’s Premier League matches with extended stats and recommended BETDAQ bets. The weekend highlight is CHELSEA v MAN U at 4.30pm.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
CRYSTAL PALACE V FULHAM
12pm Some Super Sunday’s are better than others, and this is a truly fascinating Sunday. We had an excellent Saturday with some interesting games and markets but today has it all. There’s so many talking points, big games, fascinating markets and intriguing situations I can’t wait. We start with two games kicking off at noon, and the first one is Crystal Palace against Fulham. This is a massive game for Fulham as they have good momentum now in their battle to stay up. They would have been watching the Brighton and Newcastle games on Saturday, but the reality is for the moment they just have to keep winning. The good news for Fulham fans is they have only lost once in their last six, and they are meeting Crystal Palace at a good time.
Palace may have taken three points off Brighton on Monday night, but the performance didn’t justify the result. They gave up an xG of 3.03 but somehow won the game and have been conceding chances for fun lately. The general view on Palace is they struggle to score and create chances – that is true however a bigger worry is their performance at the back in recent weeks. I wouldn’t be a massive fan of Fulham, so stakes have to be kept in check here, but it’s a good time to be against Palace and Fulham have good momentum coming into the game. They are worth backing at 2.26 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Fulham to beat Crystal Palace at 2.26 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQcryful
- Crystal Palace have won each of their last three Premier League games against Fulham; only versus Burnley (January 2018 to November 2019), Leicester (December 2017 to February 2019) and Stoke (March 2015 to September 2016) have they ever won four consecutive meetings in the competition.
- Fulham have never previously lost four consecutive league meetings with Crystal Palace; they last avoided defeat to the Eagles in the Premier League in May 2014 (1-1), and last beat them in the competition in October 2013 (4-1).
- Only against Wimbledon have Crystal Palace ever won four or more consecutive top-flight London derby meetings, beating them five times in a row from September 1989 to August 1991 under Steve Coppell.
- Crystal Palace won their last Premier League match against Brighton 2-1 – the Eagles had just three shots in the match while facing 25 in return, managed just two touches in the opposition box and had just 25.5% possession.
- Fulham are unbeaten in their last six Premier League away matches, although five have ended level (W1). They have never gone seven such matches unbeaten in the competition.
- Fulham have won two of their last three Premier League games (D1), as many as they had in their previous 24 in the competition (D9 L13). However, the Cottagers remain winless in their last 20 Premier League London derby matches (D3 L17).
- No team has conceded more goals from outside the box than Crystal Palace in the Premier League this season (9). Indeed, it’s more than double the amount they shipped from outside the box last term (4), with only four sides conceding fewer such goals in 2019-20.
- Crystal Palace striker Christian Benteke scored his fourth Premier League goal of the season last time out against Brighton, more than he had in his previous two campaigns in the competition combined (3). It was also his fourth 90th minute winning strike in the Premier League, with no player scoring more in the competition’s history.
- Jean-Philippe Mateta became the 12th different player to score for Crystal Palace in the Premier League this season against Brighton last time out. The Eagles last had more different goalscorers in a single league campaign in 2015-16 (14).
- All three of Ivan Cavaleiro’s Premier League goals for Fulham this season have come away from home, making him the Cottagers’ top scorer in away games so far this term. His three goals have either been the winning goal (1) or an equalising goal (2), earning Fulham four points in total.
LEICESTER V ARSENAL
12pm It’s a shame there’s two games at noon, as they are both interesting and worth watching. Leicester will be disappointed to have crashed out of the Europa League on Thursday, however Brendan Rodgers decided to rest a number of their first team players which was a surprise considering the first leg finished 0-0 and Slavia Prague weren’t a pushover. However, it’s slightly understandable given their position in the Premier League and he just chose to target this game instead. It shows how important the Champions League and a top four finish is! Arsenal had a dramatic 3-2 win on Thursday night, they have little left to play for in the Premier League so they can target the Europa League.
This should be a good game, but you have to fancy Leicester at 2.62. Arsenal have been very poor this season, and I would have Leicester a little lower than 2.5. I’m happy to keep stakes low because Leicester haven’t been creating a huge amount of chances recently, however they did finish the 3-1 win against Liverpool with an xG of 2.18 and they have been creating enough to win games – they just haven’t been creating very eye-catching figures. Arsenal always leave gaps at the back, and I can easily see Leicester out-classing them. Arsenal have consistently come up short this season, and the 2.62 is too big to turn down on Leicester.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Leicester to beat Arsenal at 2.62 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQleiarl
- Leicester City have won four of their last six Premier League matches against Arsenal (D1 L1), one more than in their previous 36 top-flight league matches against the Gunners (D10 L23).
- Arsenal have lost their last three away Premier League matches against Leicester, receiving more red cards (2) than goals scored (1) in these three games.
- Leicester have lost once to Arsenal at the King Power this season, losing 0-2 in the League Cup. The only team to beat the Foxes twice at the King Power in a season is Chelsea, who did so in both 2016-17 and 2017-18.
- Arsenal have won just 14.3% of their Premier League matches at the King Power Stadium (1/7) – among stadiums at which they’ve played at least five Premier League games, only at Hillsborough (12.5%) and Old Trafford (13.8%) do they have a lower win ratio in the competition.
- Three different teams have already done the Premier League double over Arsenal this season (Aston Villa, Man City, Wolves), the most in a single campaign against the Gunners since 1994-95 (4 – Leeds, Liverpool, Newcastle and QPR).
- Leicester City have won six of their seven Premier League games immediately following a European fixture this season (L1), while Arsenal have lost six of their seven such games (W1).
- Arsenal have lost consecutive away league games five times under Mikel Arteta (including a current run), last losing three in a row in February 2019. On each of the four previous occasions the Gunners have lost back-to-back away games under the Spaniard, they’ve won their next such match.
- Only Wayne Rooney (12) has scored more Premier League goals against Arsenal than Leicester City striker Jamie Vardy, who has scored 11 goals in 12 appearances against the Gunners.
- Both James Maddison (8) and Harvey Barnes (9) are enjoying their best goalscoring season for Leicester in the Premier League. Between them, they’ve been involved in 19 of Leicester’s last 26 Premier League goals.
- Arsenal captain Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored 38 goals in 50 Premier League games played on Sundays, 14 more than he has on all other days of the week combined in the competition (24 in 56).
TOTTENHAM V BURNLEY
2pm Another fascinating game! You could see Jose Mourinho really throwing the toys out of the pram if Spurs lost, and Burnley come into the game unbeaten in their last four Premier League games. Spurs are on a terrible run in the Premier League, and welcomed the change in competition midweek in the Europa League. They got an easy draw, and had another confidence boosting 4-0 win after winning the first leg 4-1. I have to say the situation at Spurs is very interesting and you have to ask the question – has Mourinho ever turned around a situation like this? Usually he loses the dressing room and not long after he is gone – perhaps there is less pressure at a club like Spurs who aren’t used to winning so maybe he will have longer, and it will be fascinating to see how it plays out.
Burnley will fancy their chances of a result here, and I’m happy to avoid the 1.58 on Spurs. They just aren’t playing well enough to back them at those odds against a Burnley side who aren’t fantastic but they do grind out results. Burnley were poor when drawing 0-0 with West Brom, but they had played well prior to that against Fulham, Crystal Palace and Brighton. Spurs have had so many mistakes at the back recently I think Burnley can score at some stage, and Both Teams To Score looks good value at 1.96.
The Striker Says:
One point win Both Teams To Score at 1.96 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQtotbrn
- Spurs have won five of their six home Premier League games against Burnley (D1), netting 16 goals and conceding just three in those games.
- Burnley are looking for their first away top-flight win against Spurs since October 1974, winning 3-2 under Jimmy Adamson. They’ve lost six of their seven such visits since (D1).
- Tottenham have lost five of their last six Premier League games (W1), more than they had in their previous 28 in the competition (W14 D10 L4).
- Tottenham’s 10 Premier League victories this season have come against opponents with an average position of 15th in the table on the day of the game. Only West Brom (17th) and Crystal Palace (16th) have beaten lower placed teams on average this term.
- Burnley have won four of their last six Premier League games in London (L2), more than they had in their previous 35 in the top-flight (W3 D4 L28). The Clarets have won at Arsenal and Crystal Palace so far this season – only in two top-flight campaigns have they won more in the capital (4 in 1960-61, 3 in 1974-75).
- No team has failed to score in more different Premier League games than Burnley this season (13), while only three teams have kept more clean sheets than the Clarets (9). Indeed, Burnley’s Premier League games have seen just 48 goals scored this term, fewer than any other side (F18 A30).
- Since beating Arsenal 2-0 in December, Spurs have taken just 12 points from 13 Premier League games (W3 D3 L7). Only Newcastle, Sheffield United and West Bromwich Albion have taken fewer in that time.
- Tottenham boss José Mourinho has managed more league games without losing against Burnley than any other club in his entire managerial career (P10 W6 D4).
- Spurs striker Harry Kane has been directly involved in 10 goals in nine Premier League appearances against Burnley (7 goals, 3 assists) – only Riyad Mahrez (8) has scored more Premier League goals against Burnley than Kane (7).
- Having netted eight goals in his first six Premier League games this season, Spurs’ Son Heung-min has added just five more in his subsequent 18 appearances. Son and teammate Harry Kane have created the most chances for each other in the Premier League this season (36), though half of these came in their first six games (18 in first six, 18 in last 16).
CHELSEA V MANCHESTER UNITED
4.30pm Another fascinating fixture! This is undoubtedly the highlight of the weekend and it deserves the prime weekend TV slot. Chelsea have had good momentum since sacking Lampard while United have slipped out of the title race in recent weeks – it will be fascinating to see the outcome here and where both sides are at the moment. Chelsea have managed to get themselves back into the Top Four race and although they have work to do, they will probably fancy their chances of catching Leicester and United. They managed to grind out a 1-0 win away to Atletico Madrid midweek in the Champions League too and that was hugely positive as that was their first big test.
This should be a great game, with both sides unbeaten in their recent games. United have been a little disappointing though. They threw away the game against Everton and then could only draw 1-1 with West Brom who have been very poor. They turned on the style against Real Sociedad in the Europa League, but Chelsea won’t give them the same time and space here. United actually won here last February, and being away might suit them better; although what home and away means these days is to be debated! I feel we’ll have a very close game here and the 2.3 on Chelsea looks too short. The two sides played out a boring 0-0 at Old Trafford already this season, and I wouldn’t be surprised to see a similar result. I think the Chelsea lay offers a little value, but I’m happy to back the draw at 3.4 which looks the best bet.
The Striker Says:
One point win Draw at 3.4 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQchlmnu
- Chelsea were beaten 2-0 at Stamford Bridge by Manchester United last season in the Premier League – they haven’t lost consecutive home games against the Red Devils since October 1995.
- In all competitions, Manchester United have won their last three away games against Chelsea, winning in the FA Cup in February 2019, League Cup in October 2019 and Premier League in February 2020. They have never won four in a row away against Chelsea.
- Chelsea haven’t lost four consecutive home games in all competitions against an opponent since a run of four against Watford between 1981 and 1986.
- Chelsea have failed to score in three consecutive Premier League games against Man Utd, attempting 41 shots without success across these games. The last time they failed to score in four consecutive top-flight matches against an opponent was in April 1960 against Bolton Wanderers.
- Chelsea have kept a clean sheet in each of their three Premier League home games under manager Thomas Tuchel, with the Blues last keeping four in a row in January 2018. The only manager to not concede a single goal in their first four home Premier League games in charge is Brendan Rodgers in October 2011.
- Manchester United are unbeaten in 19 Premier League away games (W13 D6), a run that began with a 2-0 win at Chelsea in February 2020. This is the Red Devils’ longest unbeaten away run in their top-flight history – their previous longest of 17 between December 1998-September 1999 ended with a 0-5 defeat at Stamford Bridge (Oct 1999).
- The away team has won all four of the previous managerial matches between Chelsea boss Thomas Tuchel and Man Utd’s Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, all between Man Utd and PSG in the Champions League. Solskjaer could become only the second manager to win three away games against Tuchel in all competitions, after Jürgen Klopp (4).
- Man Utd’s Marcus Rashford has been involved in seven goals in all competitions against Chelsea (5 goals, 2 assists) – against no side has he been involved in more in his career.
- Chelsea’s Mason Mount has scored two goals in his last three Premier League games, as many as in his previous 21 in the competition. However, all four of his league goals this season have come away from home.
- Bruno Fernandes provided his 10th Premier League assist of the season against Newcastle last time out, becoming only the fourth different Man Utd player to reach double figures for both goals and assists in a single Premier League campaign, after Eric Cantona (3 times), Dwight Yorke (1998-99) and Wayne Rooney (5 times).
SHEFFIELD UNITED V LIVERPOOL
7.15pm We finish the weekend with Sheffield United hosting Liverpool. While many football punters might look at this fixture and think it should be an easy win for Liverpool, I wouldn’t be lumping on them at 1.44 here. Liverpool slipped further down the table last weekend with a 2-0 loss to Everton, and actually both sides have similar form coming into this game! Two wins and four losses from their last six games in all competitions. Liverpool have a big chance of missing out on a Top Four spot which seems incredible given how strongly they started the season. They have been really poor though, and just aren’t playing anywhere near the level they can. They will probably get the job done here as Sheffield United are a weak side and concede too many chances, but I’m happy to skip backing Liverpool at the odds.
With Liverpool giving up so many chances recently, I like goals here. Sheffield United are going to give Liverpool plenty of chances, and I expect a pretty open game here to finish the day. Over 2.5 goals is trading 1.67 while Both Teams To Score is also of interest at 1.9. I wouldn’t put anyone off BTTS but for me the pick is over 2.5 goals. Sheffield United haven’t been able to score in their last two, so it gives you more options to collect if Liverpool run riot. I still feel they’ll give chances to Sheffield United however and we should see an open game. Here’s a question to finish the day; at what stage does Klopp come under pressure? I think Liverpool would be mad to sack him, but without Champions League football the pressure can only grow. The players look out of form, and perhaps there are issues in the dressing room – we’ll have to wait to find out!
The Striker Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQshelfc
- Sheffield United lost 1-0 to Liverpool at Bramall Lane last season, last losing consecutive home top-flight meetings with the Reds back in September 1921.
- Liverpool have won their last four Premier League games against Sheffield United, though those wins have been spread over the 2006-07, 2019-20 and 2020-21 seasons.
- Sheffield United have lost their last seven Premier League matches against the reigning champions – their last win against the reigning top-flight champion was against Leeds in April 1993.
- Sheffield United have lost 20 of their 25 Premier League games this season (W3 D2) – it’s the fewest amount of games a team has taken to reach 20 defeats in a single campaign in English top-flight history.
- Liverpool have lost six of their last nine Premier League games (W2 D1), as many as they had in their previous 100 in the competition (W75 D19). The Reds have lost four consecutive Premier League games, last losing five in a row in the top-flight in August/September 1953.
- Liverpool have conceded 34 goals in their 25 Premier League games this season, one more than they did in the whole of their 2019-20 title winning season.
- All four of Liverpool’s Premier League away wins this season have been in London, with the Reds picking up just four points from their seven away games outside the capital (W0 D4 L3).
- Liverpool have conceded eight penalties in the Premier League this season, as many as in their three previous campaigns combined. Indeed, in no other Premier League season have the Reds faced more spot kicks (also 8 in 2010-11).
- Sheffield United have scored fewer Premier League goals than any other side this season (15), with 35-year-old Billy Sharp (3) and 33-year-old David McGoldrick (5) accounting for over half of those.
- Liverpool’s Mohamed Salah has scored 16 goals in his last 17 away games in all competitions, as many as he had netted in his previous 51 on the road for the Reds.
Did you know that as well as checking the realtime prices on BETDAQ below – you can also log into your account and place your bets directly into BETDAQ from BETDAQ TIPS.