THE STRIKER: previews Sunday’s four Premier League games with extended stats and recommended bets. The action starts at 12pm with SHEFFIELD UNITED v FULHAM.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
SHEFFIELD UNITED V FULHAM
12pm We’re all set for another dramatic Sunday in the Premier League! We had four reasonably big favourites on Saturday with Liverpool, Chelsea, Man City and Man Untied all in action – while today’s markets are a little more open, although Spurs are the big favourites of the day. We start with Sheffield United taking on Fulham in a massive game for both sides. Clearly it’s very early at the start of the season, but with both sides sitting at the bottom with zero points, it’s going to be a very disappointing weekend for the loser who will be nailed to the bottom. Burnley also have zero points with these two, however they have played a game less.
Fulham have been involved in some close games, and they will argue that they should have got something against Leeds and Wolves, but the reality is that at the moment they don’t look good enough for the Premier League. They were brushed aside easily by Aston Villa, and Arsenal absolutely bossed them. Sheffield United have lost the same number of games, but their performances have been much better – especially looking at xG – and they will see this as a great opportunity to collect three points. Against this Fulham side, surely Sheffield United can finally take the chances that they have been creating and win.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Sheffield United to beat Fulham at 2.22 on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQsheful
- The home side has won both previous Premier League meetings between Sheffield United and Fulham, with the Blades winning 2-0 and the Cottagers winning 1-0 in the 2006-07 campaign.
- Fulham won both league meetings with Sheffield United the last time the sides faced in the 2017-18 Championship, winning 5-4 at Bramall Lane and 3-0 at Craven Cottage. A player from each side scored a hat-trick in the 5-4 triumph (Ryan Sessegnon for Fulham, Leon Clarke for Sheffield United).
- London clubs have lost each of their last 10 Premier League visits to face Sheffield United at Bramall Lane, since Chelsea won 2-0 in October 2006. Indeed, only at Old Trafford (68%) do London clubs have a higher loss rate in the Premier League than they do at Bramall Lane (65% – lost 15 of 23 matches).
- The home side has won 11 of the last 15 Premier League matches between the bottom two sides (D3 L1), with the only away win in that time coming for bottom placed Watford at Norwich in November 2019 (2-0).
- Sheffield United have lost their last seven Premier League games – they’ve never lost eight league games in a row in their history.
- Sheffield United are looking to avoid losing each of their first five league games in a season for only the second time, previously doing so in the 1995-96 second tier.
- Fulham have lost each of their four Premier League games this season, failing to score in three of them and shipping 11 goals in the process. They’ve never lost each of their first five games in a league season before in their history.
- Fulham and Sheffield United are the only sides yet to have led so far in the Premier League this season, while Fulham have been behind for a league-high four hours 40 minutes in 2020-21.
- Last season in the Premier League, Sheffield United conceded a goal every 98 minutes on average with Dean Henderson in goal (33 goals in 3240 minutes). Without Henderson in goal this season and last, the Blades concede on average a goal every 45 minutes (12 in 540 minutes).
- Fulham boss Scott Parker has taken charge of the most Premier League games without overseeing a single draw in the competition, though he’s lost 11 of his 14 games as manager (W3).
CRYSTAL PALACE V BRIGHTON
2pm This is an interesting game, and should show us where both teams are currently at. It’s not a surprise to see such an open market with the match odds at the time of writing; Crystal Palace 2.76, Brighton 2.86 and the draw is 3.35 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange. It’s fair to say Crystal Palace beating Man United at Old Trafford on United’s season opener was a surprise at the time given how strongly United finished the season, but we have had some poor performances from United this season and Palace deserved to win.
Brighton were very unlucky to lose against United when they played them, and overall they have been creating some good chances. They lost 4-2 to Everton, and while Everton have been playing good football at the start of the season, Brighton performed reasonably well. Brighton aren’t a Top 10 side, but neither are Crystal Palace, so I’m happy to take a chance with a small investment on the Brighton win here. I think they are creating enough chances to win, while the same can’t be said about Palace.
The Striker Says:
One point win Brighton to beat Crystal Palace at 2.86 on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQcrybha
- Crystal Palace are looking to secure consecutive league victories against Brighton for the first time since September 2011, following their 1-0 victory at the Amex Stadium in February last season.
- Brighton have lost just one of their five top-flight away games against Crystal Palace (W2 D2), going down 2-3 in their first such visit in the Premier League in April 2018.
- At just over 31%, Crystal Palace have the lowest average possession in the Premier League this season, while they’ve also played the highest percentage of their passes long so far in 2020-21 (19%).
- Having won their opening two Premier League games this season, Crystal Palace have since lost their last two in the competition by an aggregate score of 1-6.
- Brighton have lost their last two Premier League matches, last losing three in a row in November 2019. The Seagulls have shipped at least three goals in each of their six Premier League defeats since the competition restarted in June.
- Brighton have kept just one clean sheet in their 16 Premier League games in London (W3 D4 L9), conceding in each of their last 14 in the capital since beating West Ham 3-0 in October 2017.
- Crystal Palace failed to win any of their Sunday Premier League games last season (D3 L3), with their last such victory in the competition coming on the final day of the 2018-19 season (5-3 vs Bournemouth).
- Crystal Palace have the oldest average starting XI age in the Premier League this season (29y 89d), while Brighton have the youngest (24y 326d).
- Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha has scored more goals against Brighton in all competitions than he has any other opponent (6).
- Brighton’s Neal Maupay has been directly involved in six goals in his last five Premier League games (4 goals, 2 assists), including five in his last three. He’s looking to become the first player to score in four consecutive league appearances for Brighton since Tomer Hemed in February 2017 (5).
TOTTENHAM V WEST HAM
4.30pm A London Derby take the prime Super Sunday slot this week as Spurs host West Ham. Say what you want about Jose Mourinho, it’s always entertaining when he’s involved! After a dramatic 1-1 draw when they were robbed with a very poor penalty decision against Newcastle in their last Premier League game here, they went to Old Trafford and beat United 6-1! After a pretty shaky start, they have been playing some good football. They bossed the Newcastle game, and were ruthless against United and Maccabi Haifa.
West Ham have a very similar profile to Spurs this season. They started badly against Newcastle, lost to Arsenal while playing good football and won the game on xG, then thrashed Wolves and Leicester. They fully deserved to win both games, scoring seven goals and conceding none. This will be a tough test for Spurs, and I’m very tempted to lay Jose Mourinho’s side at 1.64. However, I can’t resist over 2.5 goals at 1.63. On paper this game screams goals and 1.63 is too big for me.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.63 on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQtotwes
- Tottenham won both Premier League meetings with West Ham last season; they last won three in a row against the Hammers with a run of five between March 2008-December 2009.
- Only at Fulham (7) have West Ham won more Premier League away games than they have against Spurs (5).
- Tottenham have lost just three of their last 27 home London derbies in the Premier League (W18 D6). However, two of those defeats have come in their last five such games, including one against West Ham in April 2019.
- West Ham have lost seven of their nine Premier League London derbies since the start of last season, winning the other two (both vs Chelsea). Indeed, the Hammers have lost more London derby matches than any other side in Premier League history (104).
- Tottenham are winless at home so far in the Premier League this season (D1 L1), scoring just once and conceding twice. This is a stark comparison to their away form, which has seen them win both games by an aggregate score of 11-3.
- West Ham have won their last two Premier League games by an aggregate score of 7-0. They last won three in a row in the competition in May 2019, while they last did so without conceding back in February 2014.
- Tottenham boss José Mourinho has never lost versus David Moyes in 12 Premier League meetings (W8 D4) – against no manager has he faced more in the competition without defeat. Indeed, only Alex Ferguson has faced another Premier League manager more often without losing (17 vs Steve Bruce and 14 vs David O’Leary).
- Coming into this weekend, no player has scored more Premier League goals this season than Spurs’ Son Heung-min (6). However, all of the Korean’s goals so far this term have come away from home.
- West Ham’s Michail Antonio has scored four goals in his seven Premier League games against Tottenham; against no side has he scored more in the competition. Antonio has also scored 10 goals in his last 11 Premier League games for the Hammers.
- Tottenham’s Harry Kane has been involved in more Premier League goals than any other player so far this season (9 – 3 goals, 6 assists). Kane has also scored nine goals in his last 10 Premier League games against West Ham, and they could become the fourth different side he has scored 10+ against in the competition (also Leicester, Arsenal and Southampton).
LEICESTER V ASTON VILLA
7.15pm We finish Super Sunday with a very interesting fixture! Aston Villa are much improved this season and arrive here full of confidence with three wins from three games. They have been a different side since returning from lockdown, after fixing their issues at the back and staying up on the last day, they have now found their goal scoring touch. I don’t think many will forget the 7-2 win over Liverpool for a while! Leicester have started strongly too, showing Manchester City with a 5-2 win at the Etihad, but then they lost 3-0 to West Ham which came from nowhere after the City win!
This should be a great game, and one wonders how long Aston Villa can keep this run going! I think Leicester are fairly priced at 1.96, while they have been playing good football I quite like how Aston Villa have been playing. Both sides have had a lot of goals this season, and over 2.5 goals really catches my eye at 1.68. Leicester have played an open game, while Villa clearly have a lot of confidence going forward now. We’ll see goals here to finish the day!
The Striker Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.68 on BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQleiavl
- Leicester have won four of their last five Premier League meetings with Aston Villa, drawing the other. The Foxes had won just two of their previous 12 against them in the competition (D6 L4).
- Aston Villa have won just one of their 11 Premier League away games against Leicester (D4 L6), losing the last three in a row since a 5-0 victory in January 2004.
- None of Leicester’s last eight Premier League matches have been drawn, with the Foxes winning four and losing four. They’ve shipped at least twice in six of those eight games (16 goals in total), keeping a clean sheet in the other two.
- Aston Villa are looking to win their first four games in a league campaign for the first time since 1930-31, when they scored a record 128 goals within a single top-flight season, but finished second to Arsenal.
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last seven Premier League games (W5 D2), winning the last three in a row. They last had a longer unbeaten run in the competition back in October 2011 (10 games), while they last won more consecutively in December 2009 (4).
- Aston Villa have scored 10 goals in their last two Premier League games, beating Fulham 3-0 before their 7-2 victory against Liverpool last time out. Their previous 10 goals in the competition came across a spell of 14 games.
- Aston Villa have lost six of their last seven Premier League games when they’ve started the day in the top two (W1), with this their first such match since September 2014 (0-3 vs Arsenal).
- Leicester striker Jamie Vardy has netted five goals in his last four Premier League games against Aston Villa, scoring braces home and away against the Villans last season.
- Aston Villa’s Jack Grealish has been involved in seven goals in his last four Premier League games (4 goals, 3 assists), including five against Liverpool last time out (2 goals, 3 assists). Grealish had been involved in just six goals in his last 23 appearances in the competition before this.
- Since the start of last season, Ollie Watkins has scored more league goals in the top two tiers of English football than any other player (29, inc. play-offs), with the striker netting his first Premier League goals with a hat-trick for Aston Villa against Liverpool last time out.
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