PREMIER LEAGUE SUNDAY: The Striker previews Sunday’s Premier League games including the weekend highlight ARSENAL v LIVERPOOL at 4.30pm. Each match previewed with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats via FACTMAN.
CRYSTAL PALACE V LEEDS
2pm It’s Super Sunday in the Premier League and we have a wonderful day ahead on BETDAQ Betting Exchange. We actually have an unusual kick off time this week as Everton host Manchester United at 7pm – this replaced the 12.30pm kick off on Saturday – probably because of Manchester United’s commitments in the Europa League this week. The highlight of the day is undoubtedly Arsenal v Liverpool in the prime TV slot, but before we get to that we have two games kicking off at 2pm. The first of which is Crystal Palace hosting Leeds – both sides come into this game with an identical record of only one win in their last six, but it is Crystal Palace who are under more pressure at the moment. Leeds started the weekend sitting in mid-table with nine points, while Crystal Palace have only managed six points and started the weekend sitting just outside the bottom three. They do have a game in hand on all the sides around them because they couldn’t play a fixture with the arrangements for the Queen’s funeral, but that doesn’t change the fact that they have had a very average start to the season now. They will be hoping to claim three points here, but I’m not sure I’d have them as short as 2.18 in the market.
While Palace didn’t play too badly last weekend against Chelsea but unfortunately were grinded down in the end, they were woeful away to Newcastle before the International break. The final score might have been 0-0 but they conceded an xG of 4.17 – that’s up there with one of the highest xG figures conceded in the Premier League this season. At the moment, the average xG conceded for Crystal Palace is 2.1 and as we have said before, you don’t win many games when conceding two goals! Although Leeds don’t arrive here in great form, I still feel Crystal Palace are worth laying here at the odds. I don’t be having a confident bet staking wise, but I do expect a very close game here so from a value point of view I’m happy to be against Palace. I know Leeds shipping five goals against Brighton and then they were pretty poor in the 0-0 draw against Aston Villa last weekend – however they have created enough to show that they can take advantage of this struggling Palace side at the back. They can get a result.
The Striker Says:
Two points lay (liability) Crystal Palace to beat Leeds at 2.18 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/CryLee
WEST HAM V FULHAM
2pm We have a hugely competitive day today, and West Ham are the only side trading odds on as they host Fulham. We’ve had plenty of London Derbies this season – it’s almost like we have one a week at this stage! Fulham have started the season very positively, and for the moment at least they have moved away from being involved in a relegation battle. They will be absolutely delighted with 11 points from eight games – they started the weekend sitting in the top ten and although they have played one more game than Liverpool, they sat above them! Who would have saw that coming? It’s fair to say they have a fantastic chance of staying up now – especially with Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth big favourites to go down, and then you have the likes of Wolves and Southampton struggling too. That’s the good news for Fulham, the bad news is that they were totally outclassed by Newcastle last weekend and they face a West Ham side who recorded a much needed win last weekend against Wolves. That was a very even game when you look at the xG figures and a draw was probably a fair result. You have to give credit to West Ham for grinding out a win, but at the same time their figures have been quite average this season – it’s hard to be overly confident on them and I wouldn’t be rushing to back them at 1.81.
West Ham have clearly been struggling to score goals this season. They have actually scored half of the goals that they should have if you look at their xG figures, but even then they aren’t too impressive either. They will say that they have had to play Man City, Spurs and Chelsea already but they have put in average performances against Brighton, Aston Villa, Everton and Wolves – indeed from those four fixtures their highest xG was only 1.0. Fulham have definitely looked more comfortable at home recently compared to away – however they have had to play Arsenal and Spurs in two of their last three away games. They can’t be really expected to collect points in those games, and outside of those they have done really well. Obviously the Newcastle game is a worry because they conceded such a big xG figure, but they are usually decent at the back – especially in the Championship last season – and I feel that they can get a result here. A small lay at West Ham at odds on is hard to turn down.
The Striker Says:
One point lay (liability) West Ham to beat Fulham at 1.81 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/WesFul
ARSENAL V LIVERPOOL
4.30pm What a fixture! So many talking points and it’s fantastic that this takes up the prime TV slot on a Super Sunday! Arsenal recorded a massive win last weekend in the North London Derby, and if their fans weren’t getting ahead of themselves already – they definitely are now! Manchester City look exceptionally strong, and it’s fair to say everyone still expects them to lift the title but at the moment anyway you’d have to call Arsenal the main challenger. Manchester United and Chelsea look well off the pace at the moment, then we have Spurs who should finish Top Four but won’t challenge and the last piece of the puzzle – what’s going on with Liverpool this season? That’s what makes this fixture so intriguing. Liverpool dropped yet more points last weekend with a 3-3 draw against Brighton at home, in the end they would have been “happy” with a draw having been 2-0 down, but they really have been poor over all this season. They are just conceding too many sloppy goals – it’s actually hard to put a finger on where things are going wrong. It would have been good for them to get a confidence boosting win against Rangers midweek in the Champions League, but they still gave away a few chances.
It will be fascinating to see what happens here to be honest – this is the most exciting game of the season so far. I know we had the Manchester Derby last weekend, but this is a level up. It’s a massive game for Liverpool too because they have Manchester City next weekend too – who knows, maybe Klopp could be even under pressure with two heavy defeats? The reality is Liverpool need to sort out their issues at the back. We come into this game with a hugely open market – both sides are very close together in the market, but Arsenal are slight favourites at the time of writing. I know the jury is still out on this Arsenal side because we’ve been disappointed so many times, but it’s hard to knock their performances this season. I’m happy to stay away from the match odds market here however as I really like Over 2.5 goals at 1.67. This game just screams goals with Liverpool conceding so many goals and chances, and then Arsenal creating so much. Klopp only knows one way too and that’s to attack so I’d expect a very open game here with plenty of action and goals. Overs is a confident bet, and at the odds I’m happy to have a Max Bet.
The Striker Says:
Five points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.67 with with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/ArsLiv
EVERTON V MANCHESTER UNITED
7pm We finish the evening with Everton hosting Manchester United. It will be nice to put the feet up on the couch and enjoy a Sunday night fixture! Everton can come into this game with confidence having put two wins back-to-back together, and that followed on four draws which included the Merseyside Derby too. At the moment I would have to say that the jury is out on this Everton side – they were lucky to beat West Ham in their last home game because they conceded an xG about three times over what they created, but to be fair to them they grinded out a win in a game that wasn’t entertaining. Then the game last weekend against Southampton was pretty close again, and they managed to bag another win. Perhaps they deserved that bit of luck after playing so well in the Merseyside Derby. They will know this United side is still searching for a system that really works, and once again their confidence was knocked last weekend in the Manchester Derby. I know there is a gulf in class between the two sides in Manchester at the moment, but a 4-0 score lin by half-time is always going to grab headlines.
I’m not going to read too much into the Europa League result midweek, and the reality is United need a win here to settle things down again. It will be fascinating to see how ten Hag lines his side up – you have to feel he made a few mistakes against City going toe-to-toe, and he still has some learning to do in the Premier League. It’s fair to say that Manchester United should be favourites here – they look a better side than Everton and while I don’t see Everton being involved in the relegation battle again this season, and they have shown enough to suggest that they can get a result here – especially with home advantage. I feel from a value point of view being against United at 2.1 is a nice position. I’d have them trading at least ten ticks higher because although they put four Premier League wins together, their away games were against Southampton and Leicester who have been very average this season. I know Everton aren’t a side to rely on so I will limit stakes, but I do fully expect a closer game than odds of 2.1 on United suggest.
The Striker Says:
Two points lay (liability) Manchester United to beat Everton at 2.1 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/EveMun