THE STRIKER: previews the Premier League games on Tuesday between SHEFFIELD UNITED v NEWCASTLE, BURNLEY v MANCHESTER UNITED and BURNLEY v MANCHESTER UNITED with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
SHEFFIELD UNITED V NEWCASTLE
6pm The Premier League fixtures just keep on coming and we have midweek action as teams catch up with games in hand. Unfortunately for Sheffield United, they don’t have a game in hand on anyone and they are nailed to the bottom of the table. They did manage a win at the weekend in the FA Cup, however that came against very low quality opposition and they still conceded two goals. The win would have been good for morale though, and they will be eyeing this game as a chance to claim three points as Newcastle have been on a poor run lately – although they did manage to draw with Liverpool in between losing four from five games.
Newcastle have improved this season from last, however they have to be careful as they are just outside the relegation battle. They start the midweek fixtures eight points ahead of Fulham in 18th, but it won’t take much for them to get pulled back given Burnley and Fulham have a game in hand over them. They have to start collecting points soon. I have to say I’m surprised to see Sheffield United so short here at 2.54. I know Newcastle are a poor side, but I can’t have Newcastle 3.2 and Sheffield United 2.54 – I would have the prices much closer together and the 2.54 jumps off the page as a good value lay.
The Striker Says:
Two points lay (liability) Sheffield United to beat Newcastle at 2.54 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQshunew
- Sheffield United have lost their last five league matches against Newcastle, their worst ever losing run against the Magpies. They last had a longer league losing run against an opponent between 1990 and 1992 against Leeds United (6 in a row).
- Newcastle have won their last three away league matches against Sheffield United, as many as they’d managed in their previous 29 visits between 1926 and 1994 (W3 D5 L21).
- Sheffield United have lost their last five home league matches, their worst home league losing run since September 1908 (also a run of five). Since joining the Football League in 1892, the Blades have never lost six consecutive home matches.
- Sheffield United are winless in their 17 Premier League games this season – only Bolton in 1902-03 (22) have had a longer run without a win from the start of a top-flight campaign.
- Sheffield United are winless in 20 Premier League games (D2 L18) since a 3-0 win over Chelsea in July. The last team to have a longer run without a win in the competition was Derby County (32 between September 2007-May 2008).
- Each of Sheffield United’s last five home league defeats have been by a one-goal margin – in top-flight history, only one team has ever lost six in a row at home all by one goal: Wolverhampton Wanderers between March and August 1951.
- Sheffield United remain the only side without a clean sheet in the Premier League this season, conceding in each of their 17 games so far. In the history of the competition, only four teams have ever gone 18+ games from the start of a campaign without a clean sheet, most recently Blackburn (27) and Norwich (21) in 2011-12.
- Callum Wilson has been directly involved in 63% of Newcastle’s away goals in the Premier League this season (5/8), scoring three goals and registering two assists.
- Newcastle manager Steve Bruce has won seven of his 10 league matches against Sheffield United (70%) – among the 38 teams he has faced at least 10 times, only against QPR (73% – 11/15) does he have a better win percentage than against the Blades.
- Antwoine Hackford became Sheffield United’s youngest appearance maker in the Premier League last time out at Crystal Palace (16y 288d) – if he starts this game, he would be just the fourth 16-year-old to appear in a Premier League starting XI, after Wayne Rooney, Jose Baxter and Reece Oxford.
BURNLEY V MANCHESTER UNITED
8.15pm A massive game for Manchester United. This is their long awaited game in hand over Liverpool and after Southampton managed to beat Liverpool 1-0, a win here would send United three points clear at the top of the league. It’s barely believable really given the amount of criticism Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has had but with everyone dropping points United have found themselves in a strong position. It might not last long because they have to play Liverpool at the weekend, but going three points clear at the top of the table would be a huge boost for the club and give players the much needed confidence boost they need. It’s been a while since we’ve had United top and who knows, maybe the glory days can return.
I know I’ve said this before, but I look at United and don’t see Champions. They concede too many goals and struggle to create a lot of chances. They always look vulnerable to mid-table sides these days – they never had that feel hen Ferguson was in charge. This is a fantastic chance for them however with Burnley playing very poor football this season. They managed to get out of the relegation zone in recent weeks with a good run of results, but it was just that – a good run of results, not performances. They have been very lucky to get the points they have, only the 2-1 win over Wolves was deserved. I think United will be a little cagey to start the game and Burnley always try to try things tight. I like under 2.5 goals at 2.2 as I’d have it closer to 2.0. United look a little short at 1.47 in the match odds market, and I wouldn’t put anyone off a little lay too.
The Striker Says:
One point win Under 2.5 goals at 2.2 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQburmnu
- Burnley won 2-0 at Old Trafford in their last Premier League meeting with Man Utd – they’ve not won consecutive league games against the Red Devils since September 1968.
- Having lost their first Premier League away game against Burnley 0-1 in August 2009, Man Utd have avoided defeat in each of their last five visits to Turf Moor (W4 D1), keeping a clean sheet each time.
- Burnley have scored just one goal in their six Premier League home games against Manchester United, compared to seven in six away games versus the Red Devils in the competition.
- Burnley have won their first league game in just one of the last six calendar years (D2 L3), with that victory coming at Huddersfield in 2019.
- Manchester United are the only side still unbeaten away from home in the Premier League this season, winning six of their seven games so far (D1). In total, the Red Devils are unbeaten in their last 14 league games on the road, their longest run since March 2010-January 2011 (16 games).
- Following victories against Wolves and Sheffield United, Burnley will have the opportunity to record three consecutive Premier League wins at Turf Moor for the first time since January 2017 (a run of five).
- Manchester United are averaging three goals per away game in the Premier League this season (21 in seven games) – in the competition’s history, the highest goals per game average away from home across a Premier League season is 2.5, by Liverpool in 2013-14.
- Manchester United’s Anthony Martial has scored in all three of his Premier League games against Burnley at Turf Moor, with each strike being the first and ultimately winning goal of the game.
- Burnley’s Chris Wood is the only player to have scored more than once for the Clarets in the Premier League this season (3) – in games at Turf Moor, the striker has netted 40% of their goals in the competition this term (2/5).
- Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford has scored six goals in seven away games in the Premier League this season, while he’s never previously netted more than six away from home in a single campaign in the competition.
WOLVES V EVERTON
8.15pm We finish the evening with Wolves hosting Everton and this is another market on BETDAQ Betting Exchange that I disagree with. The odds are very similar to Sheffield United v Newcastle earlier in the evening, and I just can’t have the home side again. Wolves look very short at 2.58. For me Wolves haven’t been themselves all season. Most of their issues come from the back and they seemingly can’t stop teams from scoring, or at least giving up chances. The game with Brighton was very open and to concede three goals is very poor, United only scored once prior to that but xG says it could have been more and they were very poor against Burnley recently too.
Everton have had an up-and-down season, but they have bounced back well after a mini-dip in form to beat Chelsea, Leicester and Arsenal. They have been grinding out wins which is a good sign, and while they will more than likely come up short they are in the mix for a spot in Europe. Wolves are already seven points behind Everton having played a game more and much like Sheffield United v Newcastle, I just can’t have to prices here. For me the prices should be much closer together and I’m happy to lay Wolves at 2.58 from a value point of view.
The Striker Says:
Three points lay (liability) Wolves to beat Everton at 2.58 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQwolevr
- Wolves have lost one of their six home Premier League matches against Everton (W2 D3), a 0-3 defeat in April 2011 under Mick McCarthy.
- Everton lost 0-3 against Wolves in their last Premier League match against them in July – they haven’t lost consecutive league games against them since September 1979.
- Only Sheffield United (20) are on a longer current run of Premier League games without a clean sheet than Wolves (10), with Wolves conceding the first goal in nine of these 10 games.
- Everton are looking to win three consecutive Premier League away games without conceding for the first time since December 2008, following victories at Leicester and Sheffield United last month.
- After a run of six Premier League games in which they conceded at least twice in October/November, Everton have shipped just four goals in their last seven in the competition and never more than once in a match in that run.
- Wolves have had more shots following a fast break than any other side in the Premier League this season (13). Wolves have the lowest average start distance (average metres from their own goal a team’s open play sequences start) in the competition this season (38.2), highlighting how they look to hit teams on the counter.
- Wolves are winless in their last four Premier League games (D2 L2), last having a longer run between May-September 2019 (7).
- Wolves players have attempted 376 dribbles (take-ons) in the Premier League this season, more than any other side. No player has created more chances following a take-on than Adama Traoré (6), while Pedro Neto has made the joint-most drives into the box (7 – carrying the ball into the box following a take-on outside the box).
- Everton’s Richarlison has scored four Premier League goals in four appearances against Wolves, including a brace at Molineux in August 2018. Peter Odemwingie (5) and Robbie Keane (6) are the only players to have scored more Premier League goals against Wolves than Richarlison (4).
- After scoring 11 goals in his first 11 Premier League games this season, Dominic Calvert-Lewin is without a goal in his last five for Everton. The England striker was averaging 3.3 shots per 90 minutes in his first 11 games, compared to 1.9 in his last five.
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