THE STRIKER: previews Tuesday’s Premier League games between MAN U v LEICESTER and SOUTHAMPTON v CRYSTAL PALACE with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
MANCHESTER UNITED V LEICESTER
6pm The Premier League fixtures just keep coming thick and fast as we head towards the end of the season. We have another very busy week with games every night, and we actually have a fantastic week on BETDAQ Betting Exchange ahead looking at the fixture list. It’s going to be a very busy week for Man United as they play Leicester this evening and then have to play their game against Liverpool on Thursday after it was postponed with the protest against the owners. It’s “squeaky bum” time for Leicester as they have dropped to fourth place after Chelsea beat Man City at the weekend, and they have a very tough run-in too – they have to play Man United here, then Chelsea the weekend and then end the season against Spurs. They would have been delighted to see West Ham lose at the weekend too, but suddenly Liverpool will come right into the mix if they win their game in hand.
Once again, United play a massive role in the Top Four run-in – last season they knocked Leicester out to get in themselves, while this season they have to play Leicester and Liverpool and you’d imagine those two games will have a big say. Leicester shipped four goals at the weekend against Newcastle and it wasn’t an unfair result looking at xG – United have been scoring goals for fun recently and they probably are one of the worst teams Leicester could face at the moment. United have a confidence about them that could see them return to title challengers pretty soon. We could see some changes to the United XI this week with two very quick games and a Europa League Final to worry about in the future. For that reason I’m going to keep stakes reasonably low, but I feel it’s an ideal time to back United here. They are creating good chances, are excellent on the counter and with Leicester giving away chances and struggling at the back, United should win here.
The Striker Says:
Two points win Manchester United to beat Leicester at 2.58 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQmunlcr
● Manchester United are unbeaten in their last 12 Premier League matches against Leicester City (W8 D4) since losing 5-3 in September 2014 under Louis van Gaal.
● Leicester City have won one of their last 22 away top-flight visits to Old Trafford against Man Utd (D5 L16), winning 1-0 in 1997-98 with a goal from Tony Cottee.
● Manchester United have won all three of their Premier League games on a Tuesday this season, scoring 11 goals and conceding none.
● Since losing at home to Everton in December, Leicester are unbeaten in five midweek (Tues, Weds, Thurs) Premier League games (W3 D2).
● Manchester United have won each of their last four Premier League home games – they’ve not won five in a row at Old Trafford since March 2018 under José Mourinho.
● Leicester have scored in 15 of their 17 Premier League away games this season, with no side finding the net in more games on the road. However, the Foxes have gone back-to-back away league games without winning for the first time this season (D1 L1).
● Manchester United’s Marcus Rashford has scored more Premier League goals against Leicester than he has vs any other side in the competition (5).
● Leicester manager Brendan Rodgers has lost 10 matches in all competitions against Manchester United in his managerial career – three more than he has against any other club.
● Manchester United’s Mason Greenwood has scored four goals in his last four home games in all competitions, more than he had in his previous 22 at Old Trafford (3).
● Leicester striker Kelechi Iheanacho has been directly involved in five goals in five starts against Manchester United in all competitions (3 goals, 2 assists), scoring twice and assisting once in a 3-1 win over the Red Devils in the FA Cup earlier this season.
SOUTHAMPTON V CRYSTAL PALACE
8.15pm This might not be the most glamourous fixture, but it’s pretty interesting from a betting point of view. Southampton look too short to me at 2.18, as they have been on a poor run lately. That being said, Crystal Palace aren’t a side you can rely on. They were impressive at the weekend against Sheffield United and it was nice to land a bet on them, however that was more so due to how poor Sheffield United have been and I feel Sheffield United have given up on their season. They will face a tougher challenge against this Southampton side, but I can see the game being much closer than odds of 2.18 suggest. You could say neither side have anything to play for really and that wouldn’t be far from the truth. Southampton have been on a pretty poor run though, and they have slipped down to 16th after losing at the weekend to Liverpool.
In fairness to Southampton, they haven’t been playing too badly. Their xG figures aren’t that bad and they have been “competitive” but it’s also clear that they have been coming up short. For example, in the 3-0 loss against West Brom, they weren’t fully dominated as they created 1.67 but they still conceded 3.07 and deserves to lose. Crystal Palace aren’t one of my favourite teams as they generally struggled to create chances, but with Southampton’s poor run they have actually moved ahead of them in the table by four points and I just feel the odds are wrong here. Southampton look a value lay at 2.18.
The Striker Says:
Two points lay (liability) Southampton to beat Crystal Palace at 2.18 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQsoucrl
● After winning seven of their first eight Premier League home games against Crystal Palace (D1), Southampton are winless in their last three against the Eagles at St Mary’s (D2 L1).
● Crystal Palace are looking to secure their first league double over Southampton since the 1990-91 campaign.
● Southampton have won 57% of their Premier League meetings with Crystal Palace (13/23), their highest win rate against any side they’ve met more than 12 times in the competition.
● Three of Crystal Palace’s four Premier League wins against Southampton have been in games played on Saturdays – when facing Saints on any other day of the week in the competition, their record is W1 D2 L7.
● Southampton haven’t won any of their last 10 midweek (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday) Premier League matches (D4 L6), losing the last five by an aggregate score of 22-4. However, Saints’ last such win came against Crystal Palace in January 2020 (2-0).
● Southampton have failed to keep a clean sheet in any of their last seven home Premier League matches (W1 D2 L4), having recorded a shutout in six of their nine at St Mary’s prior to this run.
● Crystal Palace have won just one of their last 10 midweek Premier League matches (D4 L5), beating Newcastle 2-1 at St James’ Park in February.
● Southampton’s Nathan Redmond has scored three Premier League goals against Crystal Palace, only netting more in the competition against Watford (4).
● Crystal Palace striker Christian Benteke has scored 11 goals in 18 Premier League games played on Tuesdays, with only Alan Shearer (15) and Wayne Rooney (13) netting more on this weekday in the competition.
● Danny Ings has scored 18 Premier League home goals for Southampton – he’s looking to become just the second player to score 20 top-flight goals for Saints at St Mary’s Stadium, after James Beattie (28).