🆕 THE STRIKER: previews Tuesday’s Premier League matches between LEICESTER v BRIGHTON and TOTTENHAM v WEST HAM with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats. The Striker has made a superb start since it began – 62% return on investment and that was before another winner last night !!!
The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!
Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.
LEICESTER V BRIGHTON
6pm Another interesting evening of Premier League action! It’s too early to make clear assessments of what the Premier League is like behind closed doors, but the early stages suggest that we are more likely to have a quiet first half and then games burst into life late. This happened for both sides at the weekend as Leicester scored and conceded very late while Brighton scored twice in the last 15 minutes to beat Arsenal. That was a big win for Brighton given the situation towards the bottom of the table, and they will be hoping to follow that up here.
Leicester have won 9 of their 15 home games this season, but they have been out-performing their xG. They’ve generated an xG of just under 23 but have scored 30 goals, and they’ve conceded an xG of just under 20 but only conceded 15. Brighton have been the opposite away from home, under-performing to their xG. Brighton have had big problems away from home this season, and perhaps the behind closed doors element will help them but it’s hard to get away from Leicester here at 1.74. I’m very surprised to see such a big price. We can’t read too much into Brighton beating Arsenal because Arsenal have been dreadful this season and I really like the Leicester price.
The Striker Says:
Three points win Leicester to beat Brighton at 1.74 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQleibha
- Leicester have won four of their five Premier League meetings with Brighton (D1), winning 2-0 at the Amex Stadium in the reverse fixture.
- Brighton’s last victory against Leicester in any competition was a 4-1 triumph at the King Power Stadium in the Championship in April 2014.
- Leicester’s last Premier League match to be played on a Tuesday was in February 2019 – a 2-1 home victory over Brighton and Hove Albion.
- Brighton have won just one of their last 11 midweek Premier League fixtures (Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday), drawing three and losing seven. However, that one victory was away at Arsenal earlier this season.
- Brighton have taken just one point from their 30 available in the Premier League away from home against sides starting the day in the top four, drawing their first such match at Watford in August 2017 before losing each of the last nine in a row.
- Leicester have won just one of their last six Premier League games (D3 L2), with that victory coming at home against Aston Villa in the final top-flight game played before the enforced break.
- Brighton’s win against Arsenal in their last match was their first Premier League victory of 2020. They’ve not won back-to-back games in the competition since November.
- Brighton have won 12 points from losing positions in the Premier League this season, one more than they had in their first two campaigns in the competition combined (11). The Seagulls came from behind to win their last match against Arsenal.
- Leicester’s Jamie Vardy has scored in each of his last four Premier League matches against Brighton, with all of these coming in the second half. His next strike will be his 100th in the Premier League.
- Neal Maupay is Brighton’s top scorer in the Premier League this season with nine goals, at least three times as many as any other player at the club. The Seagulls are unbeaten in all nine games in which the Frenchman has scored (W5 D4).
TOTTENHAM V WEST HAM
8.15pm A London Derby without a crowd might not have the same feel to it, but this is a big game for both sides. If you look at recent form too, it’s a game between two struggling sides! Spurs have been poor all season, and xG actually puts them in 14th position which is exceptionally poor for a side who reached the Champions League final last season. The numbers say Mourinho hasn’t improved them either – and it’s hard to know where they go from here. Something needs to change in summer. For West Ham, they have also been poor all season and in a similar situation in the sense that a new manager hasn’t improve their numbers.
It’s a sign of just how bad Spurs have been this season that they are as big as 1.74 to beat West Ham at home. Granted the home factor isn’t worth as much behind closed doors, however are deservedly in 17th and have only scored 12 goals away from home this season – winning three from 15 games while losing 9. It clearly comes with a wealth warning, but I’m happy to take a chance and back Spurs here. 1.74 is just too big to beat a side like West Ham and is worth a small bet.
The Striker Says:
One point win Tottenham to beat West Ham at 1.74 with BETDAQ Exchange.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQtotwhu
- Spurs are looking to complete a Premier League double over West Ham for the first time since the 2012-13 season under André Villas-Boas.
- West Ham won 1-0 away at Spurs last season but haven’t won back-to-back away league matches against their London rivals since November 1966 under Ron Greenwood.
- In all competitions, the away side has won six of the last seven matches between Spurs and West Ham, including each of the last four in a row. The last home win in this fixture was back in May 2017, a 1-0 victory for West Ham.
- Tottenham have lost their last two Premier League London derbies (both vs Chelsea), last losing three in a row back in August 2005. They’ve also lost two of their last three home London derbies (W1), more than they had in their previous 22 (W15 D6 L1).
- Tottenham’s Premier League win rate against West Ham in midweek matches (Tuesday- Thursday) is just 17% (W1 D3 L2), compared to 54% on games played between Friday-Monday (W22 D6 L13). Their only midweek victory against the Hammers in the competition came way back in December 1993 (3-1).
- Tottenham have dropped five points from winning positions in their last two home league games, losing 2-3 against Wolves and drawing 1-1 with Man Utd despite leading. They had only dropped four points from winning positions in their previous 23 Premier League home games.
- West Ham have won just one of their last 10 Premier League games (D2 L7), while away from home the Hammers have lost each of their last six. Only Bournemouth (7) have won fewer Premier League points so far in 2020 than David Moyes’ side (8).
- During his entire managerial career, Spurs boss José Mourinho has managed more games against David Moyes without losing than any other manager (13 – W8 D5).
- Tottenham’s Harry Kane has scored 29 goals in just 47 Premier League London derby matches – only Thierry Henry (43), Frank Lampard (32) and Teddy Sheringham (32) have netted more.
- West Ham’s Michail Antonio has scored four goals in six Premier League appearances against Spurs, scoring each goal at a different ground (Upton Park, White Hart Lane, Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London Stadium). He is one of four players to score at four grounds in a single Premier League fixture, along with Steed Malbranque (Fulham v Man City), Christian Eriksen (Everton v Spurs) and Dele Alli (Spurs v Watford).
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