PREMIER LEAGUE TUESDAY: The Striker previews the Premier League game between SOUTHAMPTON v BRENTFORD with a recommended BETDAQ bet and extended match stats.
SOUTHAMPTON V BRENTFORD
7.45pm We have midweek Premier League action to enjoy on BETDAQ Betting Exchange this week as we try to catch up on some fixtures missed due to the Covid19 outbreak around Christmas. We start on Tuesday with Southampton hosting Brentford, we were supposed to have Everton hosting Leicester later in the evening however that was postponed due to Leicester not having enough players available to fulfil the fixture.
Both these sides recorded wins in the FA Cup at the weekend, and although it was against lower league opposition, it would have been a nice confidence booster. Both sides are sitting comfortably in the top half of the bottom half of the table with no danger of relegation, so an FA Cup run would be a nice boost to their seasons and give the fans a bit of a buzz. There’s only two points between them in the table, with Brentford enjoying a very nice start to life in the Premier League this season and sitting ahead of Southampton. I have to say I was surprised to see Southampton as short as 2.08 when I clicked into the market here.
I know Southampton come into the game in great form, and they do have home advantage, however Brentford have impressed me this season and I just expected Southampton to be a little higher. While they have beaten West Ham and drawn with Spurs recently, they were lucky twice. West Ham created a higher xG figure and Spurs absolutely bossed the game and were unlucky to draw – they finished with an xG of 2.90 compared to Southampton’s 0.43.
I fully accept the fact that Brentford are a better side at home, and they actually haven’t won away from home in the Premier League since the start of October but they have picked up their fair share of draws. Southampton aren’t a side that can blow sides away, and they will have to grind out a win here. With Brentford usually creating a decent amount of chances, I feel that they can get a result here. I agree with the market in the sense that Southampton deserve to be favourites, but not this short and the 2.08 looks a very good value lay.
The Striker Says:
Three points lay (liability) Southampton to beat Brentford at 2.08 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQSoubre
● This is the first ever top-flight meeting between Southampton and Brentford, with Saints winning the last league meeting between the sides in April 2011 (3-0 at Griffin Park).
● Brentford have won their last two away games against Southampton in all competitions, with both victories coming by a 2-0 scoreline in December 2010 (League One) and September 2020 (League Cup).
● When facing a side for the first time in the top-flight, Southampton have won seven of their last eight games (L1), most recently beating Bournemouth 2-0 in November 2015.
● Southampton have lost four of their last six Premier League games against promoted sides (W2), having won nine of their 10 previous such meetings (D1). Saints lost their last such home match (0-2 vs Leeds in May), but haven’t lost consecutive top-flight home games against promoted clubs since November 2001.
● Southampton won their first league game in both 2020 (vs Spurs) and 2021 (vs Liverpool) – only once have they won their first league game in three consecutive calendar years, doing so between 1969 and 1971.
● Of all months they’ve played at least 10 Premier League games, Southampton’s highest win rate in the competition is in January, with Saints winning 34 of their 82 games in the opening month of the year (41.5%).
● Southampton have lost just once at home in the Premier League this season (0-1 vs Wolves), but have had more home draws than any other side in the competition this term (6). Each of their last three home games has finished level, with Saints last drawing four in a row at home in the top-flight back in January 2005.
● After taking eight points from their first four Premier League away games this season (W2 D2), Brentford have taken just two from their last five on the road, alternating between a defeat (3) and a draw (2) in these five games.
● No team have scored more winning goals in the final 10 minutes of Premier League games this season than Brentford, with three of the Bees’ six wins coming thanks to such goals.
● James Ward-Prowse is looking to score in four consecutive Premier League games for the first time in his career. His opener for Southampton against Spurs last time out ended a run of 11 consecutive goals in the competition from either a penalty or direct free-kick situation.