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THE STRIKER: previews the Carabao Cup semi-final between TOTTENHAM v BRENTFORD at 7.45pm on Tuesday with extended stats and a recommended BETDAQ bet.


The Striker is a professional football punter who focused solely on football in the UK. He has over ten years of experience using exchanges and he’s been a full-time professional punter for more than five years. UK football is his edge and he sticks to it!

Thankfully The Striker has agreed to share his best bets with BETDAQ Tips! He will use a staking system between one and five points to give readers a clue as to how confident he is with each individual bet. He uses his own analysis to price up matches and loves advanced stats like xG, goal stats and current form.


TOTTENHAM V BRENTFORD

7.45pm The Carabao Cup semi-finals get underway on Tuesday night and while Manchester United v Manchester City will be the focus, this is a nice fixture to start with! It’s reasonable to think Jose Mourinho will select a strong side for this tie even though the League Cup isn’t a priority for the bigger Premier League sides these days. He will need a strong side as Brentford have been in good form lately.

Spurs also had a game postponed because of Covid19 over the busy Christmas and New Year period, so Mourinho won’t be under immense pressure to rest his stars like a lot of Premier League clubs. They also have a FA Cup game the weekend against a non-league side which Mourinho will be able to change the whole starting XI for. It’s an ideal situation going into the semi-final and they have an excellent chance to reach the final. They performed very well at the weekend too when beating Leeds 3-0. That was their best performance for a while as their xG figures had fallen down since they started the season very strongly.

Brentford also had a game postponed, with their clash against Bristol City not taking place the weekend. They will have enjoyed plenty of time to prepare for this tie, and they should be very well organised. They beat Newcastle to get here, but it’s fair to say there’s a big difference between beating Newcastle and beating Spurs! Brentford should be full of confidence though as they have been on a great run in the Championship. They lost out in the Playoff Final last season, and it looks like they’ll be at least in the Playoffs again this season.

There’s plenty of tempting options on BETDAQ Betting Exchange here. I do like Spurs at 1.53, but under 2.5 goals looks overpriced at 2.22. Spurs performed well at the weekend, but they have been struggling to create chance for a few weeks. In the six games prior to that win, their xG figures read; 0.39, 0.98, 1.41, 1.21, 0.31 and 0.19. I’d expect a cagey start to the game and can’t see Brentford attacking from the start either. I’d have unders closer to 2.0 and it’s very much worth backing at 2.22.

The Striker Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 2.22 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange

You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQTotBre

MATCH STATS

  • This is the fourth time Spurs and Brentford will meet in the League Cup, with all previous three meetings coming across two legs in the second round in 1992-93, 1998-99 and 2000-01, with Spurs going through each time.
  • In all competitions, Brentford have never won an away match against Spurs in seven attempts (D2 L5). Their last win over Spurs was in March 1948 in a league match at Griffin Park.
  • Spurs are participating in their 16th League Cup semi-final, progressing from eight of their previous 15 attempts, most recently in 2014/15. They have always progressed when facing a non-top-flight side (1970-71 vs Bristol City, 2008-09 vs Burnley, 2014-15 vs Sheffield United).
  • Brentford are featuring in their first ever League Cup semi-final, becoming the 59th team to reach this stage. The last time a team reached this stage for the first time and progressed to the final was in 2012-13 (Bradford City and Swansea City).
  • Brentford are looking to register three consecutive wins in the League Cup for the first time in their history.
  • Brentford have already eliminated four Premier League teams in this season’s League Cup, only the second non-Premier League side to do so in a season, after Bristol City in 2017-18 who were eventually beaten in the semi-final by Man City.
  • Spurs boss José Mourinho has won 15 of his 17 home League/FA Cup matches as manager against non-Premier League sides (D1 L1) – his only failures have been against Bradford City in January 2015 with Chelsea in the FA Cup (2-4 loss) and Derby County in September 2018 in the League Cup (2-2, lost on pens).
  • Tottenham boss José Mourinho is looking to become the third manager to reach the League Cup final with three different clubs, after Ron Atkinson (Man Utd, Sheffield Wednesday, Aston Villa) and Ron Saunders (Norwich, Man City, Aston Villa).

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