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BUNDESLIGA / LA LIGA FRIDAY: Our European football tipster The Ultra previews WOLFSBURG v WERDER BREMEN and REAL VALLADOLID v LEVANTE on Friday both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.

The Ultra is a professional football trader with over ten years experience betting on European football. He has gladly agreed to do a weekly column on BETDAQ Tips where you can get all his latest bets.

The Ultra has a staking system between one and five points, with five points for only his most confident bets in Europe. He loves looking at the stats before each game and especially enjoys using xG (Expected Goals) to make a profit.


7.30pm As is becoming the norm now we have one game from the Bundesliga and one from La Liga for Friday Night Football in Europe. We start with the 1-1 draw specialists from Europe as Werder Bremen aim for their sixth 1-1 draw in a row against Wolfsburg! Of course they’ll be aiming to win the game, but it looks like they love a good 1-1 draw! They won’t be complaining with their 1-1 last weekend against Bayern Munich however, it was a very good performance and fully deserved against the Champions. This should be a good game, as Wolfsburg are in good form too. They are unbeaten in the Bundesliga this season from eight games, they have had too many draws for their liking, but they are playing ok football.

I expect a pretty close game here and I don’t like the Wolfsburg price at 1.83. I feel that’s much too short between two sides who don’t create a lot of chances and have a lot of draws. I wouldn’t been keen backing Wolfsburg at the odds; and although the lay is a very tempting bet – indeed I wouldn’t be anyone off it – I prefer under 2.5 goals here at 2.16 which looks too big to ignore for me. Neither side score a lot of goals and while Werder Bremen see both sides score a lot in their games, I would still have unders closer to 2.0 and it’s worth backing at the odds.

The Ultra Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 2.16 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange

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8pm We finish the evening on BETDAQ Betting Exchange with Real Valladolid hosting Levante in La Liga. It’s very early in the season, but this is a massive game for both sides. They are in 17th and 18th position at the start of the weekend and a win for either side would be a huge boost. Valladolid have done well in the last few weeks to record back-to-back wins to pull themselves out of the bottom three, while Levante have been following Werder Bremen’s lead in the Bundesliga fixture tonight having had four 1-1 draws in a row!

This should be a good game, and I’m not surprised to see a reasonably open market. I agree with the market that Valladolid should be the favourites, but I do feel there is value in Levante here. The draw also caught my eye 3.25 so in that sense I wouldn’t put anyone off the Valladolid lay at 2.58 but I’m going to take a chance and have a small investment on Levante at 3.15. They have been unlucky to draw four games in a row and have been creating enough chances to win games. This should be a pretty low quality affair, but Levante can create enough chances to win the game.

The Ultra Says:
One point win Levante to beat Real Valladolid at 3.15 on BETDAQ Betting Exchange

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