SERIE A/LA LIGA MONDAY: Our European football tipster The Ultra previews LAZIO v AC MILAN and EIBAR v REAL SOCIEDAD both with a recommended BETDAQ bet.
LAZIO V AC MILAN
7.45pm We have an excellent night of action across Europe, and we kick the evening off in Serie A with Lazio hosting AC Milan. All the stars line up here for a Max Bet on BETDAQ Betting Exchange in my opinion. I am very confident on the Lazio win, and I feel everything points to a comfortable home win. At 2.2, I can’t see why Lazio shouldn’t be a Max Bet – I’d have them strong odds on. AC Milan have been very poor for a while now, and their level has dropped off dramatically just when Inter Milan made their charge at the top of Serie A. They were outplayed by Sassuolo last week and when you look at their xG figures you can see why they have the issues they do – they are conceding a host of chances. They weren’t doing that at the start of the season when things were going well at the top of the table.
Not only do we have AC Milan conceding a host of chances, we have Lazio creating a host of chances. That’s why I feel everything lines up here for a Max Bet on Lazio. They may have lost 5-2 to Napoli last week, but they actually played very well and were bang in the game for most of it. Prior to that they have been creating xG figures like 4.20 and 2.14 and even held their own against Bayern Munich in the Champions League despite conceding six goals over the two legs – xG had the games closer. They were unlucky lose 3-2 to AC Milan earlier in the season when they created more, and now that AC Milan’s level has dropped Lazio can take full advantage. They have an excellent record and are playing good football – the 2.2 is a very confident bet.
The Ultra Says:
Five points win Lazio to beat AC Milan at 2.2 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQLazAcm
EIBAR V REAL SOCIEDAD
8pm Next we move to La Liga to finish the night with an important game for both sides here. It’s important for different reasons – Eibar have found themselves nailed to the bottom of the table and they really need a win soon to get back within touch of the others, while Real Sociedad are in the mix for a Europa League spot with Real Betis and Villarreal. They have the upper hand at the moment, but it’s very close between those three and someone will miss out. We’re bound to have some extra spice in this game too as it is a Basque Derby – hopefully we have an early goal and we see a very entertaining game!
Eibar come into the game in terrible form, but they have had to play Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid in their last four fixtures. They created an xG figure of 0 against Atletico Madrid and I don’t think I’ve seen that in any other game this season. They have been conceding a host of chances recently and it’s very noteworthy that they have been playing their worst football at the time when they needed to be at their best. Their future in La Liga looks very limited to be honest, and while I wouldn’t be a huge fan of Sociedad I feel they are worth backing at 1.94 to win tonight. They have something to play for too and they impressed me against Celta Vigo when they dominated the game. Eibar are such a limited side, Sociedad can surely outscore them given the amount of chances they will get – however they aren’t a side to fully trust, so I’m happy to limit stakes here. The 1.94 is too big to ignore, but it’s not the type of bet you want to go mad about.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Real Sociedad to beat Eibar at 1.94 with BETDAQ Betting Exchange
You can view all markets here -> http://bit.ly/BDQEibSoc