THE ULTRA ON SATURDAY: Our football tipster The Ultra previews Saturday’s top European action with a recommended BETDAQ bet. The first match previewed is GLADBACH v WOLFSBURG in the Bundesliga at 2.30pm.
GLADBACH V WOLFSBURG
2.30pm The fixture in Europe just keep coming and we have another fantastic Saturday in store with all football bets 0% Commission on BETDAQ Betting Exchange! We have some very interesting games from the Bundesliga and La Liga today, and we start in the Bundesliga with Gladbach hosting Wolfsburg. This looks the pick of the 2-30pm Bundesliga games, and both sides will be wondering what has gone wrong this season. They start the weekend sitting in 12th and 13th, both having desperate seasons. When you look at them this season, it’s hard to believe that Wolfsburg were a top four side last season and Gladbach were a top four side the year before that. Gladbach have been on the slide for two seasons, but they have been awful this season and got hammered 6-0 last week by Dortmund. As I said in my preview of that game, they have been conceding an average of two goals per game in the Bundesliga this season and you’re not going to win many games with those stats! Wolfsburg aren’t as bad at the back, but they have been struggling at the other end of the pitch.
Wolfsburg have only managed an average of one goal per game in the Bundesliga this season, so it’s a question of who will win the battle today – how bad Gladbach are at the back or how bad Wolfsburg are up front! I must say I was very surprised to see Gladbach as short as 2.1 when I clicked into the market. Both sides have been so average this season, and they sit beside each other in the table so I expected a reasonably open market. Wolfsburg have actually been better away from home this season too – they are much higher in the away from table. The xG table leaves the sides more or less where they are, reflecting just how average they have been this season. Despite the poor form of both sides, I’m actually quite looking forward to this game – it should be a cracker with plenty of mistakes! From a value point of view, I simply have to lad Gladbach at the odds. The 2.1 is very short in my opinion. It’s not quite a Max Bet, but it’s a very confident bet.
The Ultra Says:
Four points lay (liability) Gladbach to beat Wolfsburg at 2.1 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQGldWol
EINTRACHT FRANKFURT V BAYERN MUNICH
5.30pm We stay in the Bundesliga next as the German Champions Bayern Munich travel to take on Eintracht Frankfurt. Much like Gladbach and Wolfsburg in the above game, Eintracht Frankfurt have been poor this season too. They finished 5th last season to get European football, but they were in danger of a relegation battle at one stage because they started the season so poorly. They are definitely “too good to go down” and they quickly started coming up the table but they still sit in mid-table which is a poor season for them. Bayern Munich have had a few setbacks this season, most of their losses have been a major surprise and they have been unlucky too – creating a higher xG figure than the winning team for example – but they still start the weekend with a six point advantage over Dortmund. I don’t think the title is changing hands any time soon to be honest, and we’re actually a good bit away from even having a title race of note. The one positive perhaps, from a title race point of view, is Dortmund are out of the Europa League now so they can put their full focus on the Bundesliga.
I highly doubt that will change much however, and this should be another smooth win from Bayern. Eintracht Frankfurt have had a lot of issues at the back this season and they have been lucky in that department too. They have conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game in the Bundesliga this season, but they have actually conceded an xG of over that at 1.7. Despite all the problems at the back, things could be worse! I always fear for sides with issues at the back when facing Bayern Munich because Bayern just run riot. That being said, Bayern do come here without a win in their last two away games. Salzburg held them to a 1-1 draw in the Champions League and they lost 4-2 in a shock result against Bochum – in classic Bayern fashion though, they actually played well twice. They created a higher xG figure both times with 2.60 and 2.62 – two decent performances to be honest. I’m very tempted by Bayern on the handicap here, but the 1.47 in the match odds market is so big I’m happy to have a Max Bet. I can’t see past a Bayern win here.
The Ultra Says:
Five points win Bayern Munich to beat Eintracht Frankfurt at 1.47 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQFraByn
RAYO VALLECANO V REAL MADRID
5.30pm We move over to La Liga next as Rayo Vallecano host Real Madrid. It was a good week for Real Madrid as they extended their lead at the top of La Liga to six points with a win over Alaves last weekend, while Sevilla dropped further points as they could only draw with Espanyol. Most Real Madrid fans will say there was never a real title race this season because they wouldn’t have feared Sevilla at all, and to be honest they would be right. Sevilla had a few chances to put a little pressure on Real but they blew it every time. Real dropped a few points when they came back after the Christmas break, but Sevilla kept drawing on the wrong time. The title race looks over now, and this is an excellent chance for Real to add another three points. Rayo Vallecano are in woeful form at the moment, and I feel this will be a one way traffic win for Real Madrid. I was very surprised when I clicked into the market to see Real trading as high as 1.7, and it’s going to be a day of two Max Bet’s as I’m happy to add Real Madrid to the list along with Bayern Munich above!
Rayo Vallecano made an incredible start to the season, especially when you consider that they could only finish in 6th last season in the Segunda but their momentum in the playoffs was incredible and they definitely carried that into La Liga. Perhaps reality is hitting now though, and after looking like they could get a European spot they have only managed one win in their last eight La Liga games. Their performances have been poor recently, and you can tell morale is quite low on this run. They were very poor away to Elche last weekend, and although they have performed better at home recently I just can’t see them living with this Real Madrid side. Real have been putting the small sides to the sword this season, and although they have had a couple of drawn games recently they have been unlucky – for example they created an xG of 5.24 in the draw to Elche and could have hardly played better. They tried to grind out a 0-0 against PSG in the Champions League, but their La Liga xG figures have been 3.29, 2.30, 1.58, 5.24 and 4.05 recently. This should be a comfortable win for Real and 1.7 looks cracking value.
The Ultra Says:
Five points win Real Madrid to beat Rayo Vallecano at 1.7 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQRayRea
ATLETICO MADRID V CELTA VIGO
8pm We stay in La Liga to finish the day as Atletico Madrid host Celta Vigo. Atletico Madrid were busy midweek in the Champions League, but in true Atletico Madrid fashion this season they finished the game with a higher xG figure but failed to win. They will count themselves as unlucky to only draw 1-1 with Manchester United, but they’ve given themselves a tough job ahead of the second leg now. They can’t worry about that for the moment anyway, because they have a massive job at hand in La Liga. They have fallen out of the top four, and while they are equal on points with Barcelona they have played one game more. They are probably looking at Real Betis to fall out of the top four, but there’s no signs of them dropping out at the moment. They won again last weekend, and perhaps Atletico will be hoping for a Sevilla win tomorrow. That being said, Real Betis start the weekend with a four point advantage of Atletico, so Atletico have a lot of work to do. The xG table puts Atletico in second this season, and while they would be incredibly unlucky to miss out on Champions League football they simply have to start taking their chances.
It would be a massive setback for Atletico to go from lifting the La Liga title to missing out on Champions League football, especially this season because Barcelona were out of the title race so early. Anyway, they face a tricky Celta Vigo side here who will be looking to frustrate this Atletico side. When you look through the Atletico xG figures, it’s pretty obvious what tactics to employ – you put XI men behind the ball, make them struggle to create much in front of goal and wait for your chance at the other end. I feel Celta will go into this game pretty negative, and under 2.5 goals looks the value call at 1.85. If Atletico are to win the game, they are going to have to work very hard and grind out a win. Celta haven’t been involved in high scoring games recently, with unders winning in five of their last six games. I feel Atletico will win in the end, but it won’t be pretty.
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Under 2.5 goals at 1.85 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://bit.ly/BDQAtlClt