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BUNDESLIGA SATURDAY: Our new European football tipster The Ultra is showing a 28% return on all selections since the start. Next up its three matches on Saturday with a recommended BETDAQ bet.

The Ultra is a professional football trader with over ten years experience betting on European football. He has gladly agreed to do a weekly column on BETDAQ Tips where you can get all his latest bets.

The Ultra has a staking system between one and five points, with five points for only his most confident bets in Europe. He loves looking at the stats before each game and especially enjoys using xG (Expected Goals) to make a profit.


2.30pm We kick off Saturday’s Bundesliga preview on Hertha Berlin at home to Augsburg. RB Leipzig were a man down against Hertha midweek, but Hertha would have gladly accepted a draw before kick off with Leipzig starting around 1.33. Augsburg were disappointing against Paderborn and deserved to lose. There isn’t a lot between these in the table or on the xG table either, but I see a lot of value in over 2.5 goals at 1.8 on BETDAQ Exchange.

Augsburg give up plenty of chances, they have conceded 31 goals away from home this season while Hertha have conceded goals at home this season. Augsburg away games are showing more than 3 goals and Hertha at home are showing more than 3 goals too – over expected. Augsburg are conceding more than 2 goals away from home and while it has to be a worry that both teams have scored a lot this season, both are very poor at the back and we could see plenty of goals here. Hertha have played open games since returning and 1.8 is worth two points on over 2.5 goals.

The Ultra Says:
Two points win over 2.5 goals at 1.8 with BETDAQ Exchange.

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2.30pm Wolfsburg come into this one on a high after beating Bayer Leverkusen 4-1 on Tuesday night. Some casual football fans might have a quick look at the market and think that Wolfsburg look massive at 2.02 based on the Bundesliga table. However, looking at xG there isn’t much between them as the table shows and the match odds reflect this. Eintracht Frankfurt should be in 7th on xG and they have been very unlucky with their results this season. That being said, they have to actually get results and can’t just keep saying they’re unlucky!

Over 2.5 goals looks a bet again here. It’s good value at 1.7 – Frankfurt have had a tonne of goals since returning from lockdown and are yet to have a game with under 3.5 goals winning. They are creating chances and giving up chances. They’ve been a little unlucky away from home, conceding 30 goals when the xG was only just over 20 while Wolfsburg have pretty much performed to xG at home. I expect an open game here with the way Frankfurt play and over 2.5 goals is worth backing.

The Ultra Says:
Two points win over 2.5 goals at 1.7 with BETDAQ Exchange.

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5.30pm This is a case of how many rather than will Bayern win. They’re currently 1.09 to beat Fortuna Dusseldorf after going a long way to putting the title race to bed on Tuesday night when beating Dortmund 1-0. Dusseldorf are down towards the bottom of the table, in 16th and xG doesn’t move them much. They are conceding more than two goals away from home and with Bayern scoring 3, this could be a bloodbath!

While Bayern are ultra-impressive going forward, they don’t give up much at the back either. They are conceded less than 1 goals per game and the xG is only just over 1. Impressive. Backing Both Teams Not To Score is tempting at around the 1.75 mark however Bayern should do a number on Dusseldorf here and the handicap -2.5 goals at 1.7 is the bet for me. If both teams perform to their xG then Bayern will cover the handicap.

The Ultra Says:
Three points win Bayern Munich -2.5 goals to beat Fortuna Dusseldorf at 1.7 with BETDAQ Exchange.

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