WORLD CUP TUESDAY: The Ultra previews Tuesday’s four World Cup games between ECUADOR v SENEGAL, NETHERLANDS v QATAR, IRAN v USA and WALES v ENGLAND all including a recommended BETDAQ bet.
ECUADOR V SENEGAL
3pm We kick off Matchday Three in the Group stages of the World Cup on BETDAQ Betting Exchange on Tuesday! Although there’s been a huge amount of debate around whether or not the World Cup should be in Qatar, the action on field has been intriguing. We’ve pretty much had everything so far, and we head into the final Group games with some huge clashes ahead. We start Tuesday in Group A with Ecuador taking on Senegal. After Ecuador managed a 1-1 draw with the Netherlands, they are sitting in a great position in second place but they are only one point ahead of Senegal. You’d have to expect the Netherlands to beat Qatar in their final game today, so this game is going to decide who finishes second (or indeed first on goal difference, you never know!) With a one point advantage, Ecuador have the luxury of only needing a draw here, but I doubt they will play like that. They fully deserved their draw against the Netherlands – indeed you could argue that they should have won the game. They could have been level at half-time but for VAR, and they kept the Netherlands done to an xG of just 0.11. I know Netherlands took an early lead and sat on it, but they did have plenty of time to respond after Ecuador made it 1-1 early in the second half.
Senegal had an eventful 3-1 win over Qatar, but you’d have to say the 1-1 draw for Ecuador against the Netherlands was a more impressive performance. As you would expect, we have a reasonably open market here but Ecuador come into the game as favourites. Senegal have been solid in their games, but for me Ecuador haven’t put a foot wrong. With Senegal needing to win, I would expect a very open game and I was surprised to see Over 2.5 goals trading as high as 2.39 when I clicked into the market. Senegal gave up a few chances to Qatar, and I would expect similar here. I know Ecuador would be happy with a draw here, but I still see fireworks. I couldn’t put anyone off the Ecuador win at 2.5 because that looks a cracking price, however I believe there is more value in the goals market here with Overs trading 2.39. I’d be surprised if we didn’t see goals here – an early goal could really open up the game.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Over 2.5 goals at 2.39 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/EcuSen
NETHERLANDS V QATAR
3pm This is the first day that games start to kick off at the same time as each other which is a shame, I was enjoying four games per day! Is there anything better than wall-to-wall football midweek? I would assume most people will be watching Ecuador v Senegal because Netherlands are fully expected to beat this average Qatar side. They are trading 1.18 at the time of writing, which is actually the shortest price of the tournament so far. Argentina (who got beat!) and Spain were trading 1.19 before kick off. After Argentina, we all know nothing is certain but it’s very difficult to see past a Netherlands win here. They are trading very short, but they seem an ideal selection to include in any BETDAQ Multiple today. Netherlands start the day on four points, just ahead of Ecuador but the goal difference is the same. That could prove to be important here, so that certainly makes the goal and handicap markets interesting. Netherlands will likely not be happy with a 2-0 win here and want as many goals as possible. There’s no getting away from the fact that there’s a huge gulf in class between the sides here, but Netherlands were very disappointing against Ecuador as I mentioned above. They finished that game with an xG of just 0.11 and although they took an early lead and sat on it, that was no excuse for not creating anything after it went 1-1 because they had a lot of time from then.
The jury is definitely out on this Netherlands side in my opinion. They are likely going to top the Group, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see them exit early in the knockouts looking at their performances. We’re unlikely to learn much here either, because Qatar have looked very weak. They made some improvement against Senegal but they are still very average – if they weren’t hosting the tournament they wouldn’t be at the World Cup. I think it’s a case of how many goals can the Netherlands score here rather than will they win, and Netherlands -2.5 goals looks cracking value at 2.33. If they played better against Ecuador, I would be recommending a Max Bet here but after that performance I feel it’s best to reduce stakes. They simply have to score goals here – they can’t risk winning 1-0 or 2-0 and losing top spot on goal difference.
The Ultra Says:
Three points win Netherlands -2.5 goals to beat Qatar at 2.33 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/NetQat
IRAN V USA
7pm Next we go to Group A where we have a fascinating situation. All the interest, obviously, from the UK will be on England v Wales but this is a huge game for Iran and the USA. After beating Wales, Iran sit in second place with three points with USA behind them on two. It’s hard to see a situation where Wales actually qualify, so it’s likely the winner gets second. A draw would likely be good enough for Iran too, they would just need England to get a result against Wales. Iran looked quite average against England, but they came roaring back with a superb performance against Wales. They created nearly three times as much as they conceded, and although the Wales manager said his players “weren’t at it” that was because Iran didn’t let them. If they can play to a similar level here then they have a very good chance of winning, or at least drawing which should be good enough. It’s fair to say that result was a surprise – Wales went into the game as the heavy favourites but at the same time, it is surprising to see USA odds on here. They really haven’t created much in this World Cup, and with a draw not a bad result for Iran it will be interesting to see how they deal with the game if Iran just sit back and aim to counter.
The USA have finished with xG figures of 0.96 and 0.95 so far – consistent and to be fair to them one was against England, but I wouldn’t be rushing to back them at odds on here. Iran have actually created more although they got hammered by England. They finished that game with an xG of 1.52 and then created 1.76 against Wales. Given all the USA games have been very cagey affairs, Under 2.5 goals will be a popular bet here at 1.8. USA surely have to play a more open game here though because they need to win – the task is simple in that sense. However, I just can’t get away from the USA lay here at 1.95. I really wasn’t expecting to see them trading odds on, and I fully expect a closer game than the odds reflect. It’s not often I have a Max Lay, but I feel this one is worth it because we really are getting a lot of value here. I wouldn’t even be surprised to see Iran win if the USA get reckless towards the end.
The Ultra Says:
Five points lay (liability) USA to beat Iran at 1.95 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/IraUsa
WALES V ENGLAND
7pm We finish Tuesday with the highlight of the day for everyone in the UK! Old enemies do battle, and with Wales World Cup hopes hanging in tatters, surely there’s no better game for them to get up for than this. England should have done a lot better against the USA but they lacked a spark and created very little. If they play that badly here, Wales could easily win. Wales were very poor themselves against Iran though, and on balance the 1.46 on England is a fair reflection of the gulf in class between the sides. Wales have a huge amount of fight them and never lack any effort, but they do lack quality. One wonders where they are going to end up when the likes of Gareth Bale retires and a few other senior players. It could be another long time before the get to a World Cup. Given the history between the nations, you can’t not expect fireworks here. While I wouldn’t lay England at the odds, I do expect Wales to have a good go here and possibly make the game closer than the odds suggest. England looked a little toothless against the USA and that has been thrown at Southgate for a while now. Even if they “win ugly” here that criticism isn’t going away any time soon. If they exit early, the manager is likely to go too I think given the likely media reaction.
Wales have built their recent success on being solid at the back; however that has gone this year. They came into the tournament on a long run of conceding goals, and that might give England the help they need in front of goal! You could say that Wales just moved up in the Nations League to a level that was above them, but they have been conceding a lot of sloppy goals and there’s no getting away from that. With Wales needing to win, I would expect a reasonably open game here and Over 2.5 goals makes appealing at 1.86. I’m going to keep stakes limited because clearly England have had their issues in front of goal, and Wales haven’t managed a goal from open play yet either but we should get an open and attacking game given the situation. It would be a real shame to see a dull 0-0 affair again, but Wales have to go for it so we should see some drama!
The Ultra Says:
Two points win Over 2.5 goals at 1.86 with BETDAQ BETTING EXCHANGE.
You can view all markets here -> https://betdaq.biz/WalEng